Ford Motor Valuation

Is F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: F ($11.14) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($5.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
STLAM Stellantis
3x3.0%€40.4b
A005380 Hyundai Motor
5.8x4.7%₩63.5t
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.2x6.4%€49.6b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
4.7x0.6%€49.1b
F Ford Motor
11.1x16.9%US$42.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (4.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.14
US$12.98
+16.5%
21.4%US$20.00US$9.00n/a23
Sep ’25US$11.14
US$13.40
+20.3%
20.9%US$20.00US$10.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$10.80
US$13.63
+26.2%
19.4%US$20.00US$10.00n/a24
Jul ’25US$11.95
US$14.19
+18.7%
18.8%US$21.00US$10.00n/a24
Jun ’25US$12.08
US$14.11
+16.8%
19.2%US$21.00US$10.00n/a24
May ’25US$12.08
US$13.95
+15.5%
18.5%US$21.00US$10.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$13.22
US$13.70
+3.6%
19.2%US$21.00US$10.00n/a24
Mar ’25US$12.64
US$13.64
+7.9%
20.0%US$21.00US$10.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$11.35
US$13.70
+20.7%
26.8%US$22.00US$9.50n/a24
Jan ’25US$12.22
US$13.58
+11.1%
26.3%US$22.00US$9.50n/a22
Dec ’24US$10.31
US$14.04
+36.2%
25.5%US$22.00US$9.50n/a21
Nov ’24US$11.65
US$14.27
+22.5%
24.9%US$22.00US$9.50n/a21
Oct ’24US$12.42
US$15.42
+24.1%
22.0%US$23.00US$11.00n/a21
Sep ’24US$11.81
US$15.23
+28.9%
23.1%US$23.00US$11.00US$11.1421
Aug ’24US$15.19
US$14.81
-2.5%
22.3%US$23.00US$11.00US$10.8020
Jul ’24US$15.19
US$14.11
-7.1%
23.1%US$22.00US$10.00US$11.9520
Jun ’24US$11.81
US$13.95
+18.1%
23.3%US$22.00US$10.00US$12.0820
May ’24US$11.67
US$13.72
+17.6%
21.8%US$21.00US$10.00US$12.0821
Apr ’24US$11.26
US$14.14
+25.6%
24.5%US$22.00US$10.00US$13.2221
Mar ’24US$12.32
US$14.29
+16.0%
23.8%US$22.00US$10.00US$12.6421
Feb ’24US$13.57
US$15.00
+10.5%
27.0%US$24.00US$10.00US$11.3520
Jan ’24US$11.36
US$15.60
+37.3%
29.6%US$28.00US$10.00US$12.2220
Dec ’23US$15.45
US$15.60
+1.0%
29.6%US$28.00US$10.00US$10.3120
Nov ’23US$15.45
US$15.55
+0.6%
29.8%US$28.00US$10.00US$11.6520
Oct ’23US$15.45
US$16.81
+8.8%
28.1%US$28.00US$10.00US$12.4220
Sep ’23US$13.92
US$17.21
+23.6%
29.8%US$32.00US$10.00US$11.8120

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies