Stock Analysis

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Contact Energy (NZSE:CEN)

Published
NZSE:CEN

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Contact Energy (NZSE:CEN) so let's look a bit deeper.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Contact Energy is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.088 = NZ$464m ÷ (NZ$6.1b - NZ$802m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

Thus, Contact Energy has an ROCE of 8.8%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 6.5% generated by the Electric Utilities industry, it's much better.

Check out our latest analysis for Contact Energy

NZSE:CEN Return on Capital Employed July 16th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Contact Energy's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Contact Energy .

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

Contact Energy is showing promise given that its ROCE is trending up and to the right. The figures show that over the last five years, ROCE has grown 34% whilst employing roughly the same amount of capital. So our take on this is that the business has increased efficiencies to generate these higher returns, all the while not needing to make any additional investments. On that front, things are looking good so it's worth exploring what management has said about growth plans going forward.

In Conclusion...

As discussed above, Contact Energy appears to be getting more proficient at generating returns since capital employed has remained flat but earnings (before interest and tax) are up. Since the stock has returned a solid 45% to shareholders over the last five years, it's fair to say investors are beginning to recognize these changes. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Contact Energy can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.

One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Contact Energy (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .

While Contact Energy isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.