Stock Analysis

Here's Why Auckland International Airport (NZSE:AIA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

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NZSE:AIA

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Auckland International Airport Limited (NZSE:AIA) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Auckland International Airport

What Is Auckland International Airport's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Auckland International Airport had debt of NZ$2.23b, up from NZ$1.64b in one year. On the flip side, it has NZ$59.2m in cash leading to net debt of about NZ$2.17b.

NZSE:AIA Debt to Equity History June 23rd 2024

How Healthy Is Auckland International Airport's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Auckland International Airport had liabilities of NZ$567.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NZ$2.33b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NZ$59.2m and NZ$97.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NZ$2.74b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Auckland International Airport has a market capitalization of NZ$11.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Auckland International Airport has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.2 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.9 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Notably, Auckland International Airport's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 138% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Auckland International Airport can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Auckland International Airport burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Auckland International Airport is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. We would also note that Infrastructure industry companies like Auckland International Airport commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Auckland International Airport's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Auckland International Airport that you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.