SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited

NZSE:SKC Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$1.1b

SkyCity Entertainment Group Valuation

Is SKC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SKC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SKC (NZ$1.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NZ$3.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SKC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SKC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SKC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.5x
PEG Ratio5.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SKC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SKC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.2x
RBD Restaurant Brands New Zealand
21.7x21.1%NZ$355.6m
MCK Millennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand
12.8xn/aNZ$281.1m
EVRI Everi Holdings
11.3x15.5%US$684.4m
JIN Jumbo Interactive
31.2x10.1%AU$1.1b
SKC SkyCity Entertainment Group
148.2x24.8%NZ$1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SKC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (146.2x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SKC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SKC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (146.2x) compared to the Oceanic Hospitality industry average (21.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SKC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SKC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio146.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SKC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SKC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNZ$1.48
NZ$1.88
+27.3%
30.0%NZ$3.10NZ$1.40n/a6
Jun ’25NZ$1.74
NZ$2.55
+46.6%
22.1%NZ$3.50NZ$1.80n/a6
May ’25NZ$1.75
NZ$2.60
+48.6%
21.8%NZ$3.50NZ$1.80n/a6
Apr ’25NZ$2.08
NZ$2.60
+25.0%
21.8%NZ$3.50NZ$1.80n/a6
Mar ’25NZ$1.97
NZ$2.57
+30.3%
22.1%NZ$3.50NZ$1.80n/a6
Feb ’25NZ$2.01
NZ$2.68
+33.1%
23.3%NZ$3.50NZ$1.80n/a6
Jan ’25NZ$1.82
NZ$2.67
+46.5%
23.3%NZ$3.50NZ$1.80n/a6
Dec ’24NZ$1.89
NZ$2.89
+53.0%
17.8%NZ$3.50NZ$2.10n/a6
Nov ’24NZ$1.83
NZ$2.89
+58.0%
17.8%NZ$3.50NZ$2.10n/a6
Oct ’24NZ$1.93
NZ$2.92
+51.1%
16.3%NZ$3.50NZ$2.25n/a6
Sep ’24NZ$2.33
NZ$2.95
+26.6%
14.7%NZ$3.50NZ$2.30n/a6
Aug ’24NZ$2.23
NZ$3.08
+38.3%
15.9%NZ$3.80NZ$2.50n/a6
Jul ’24NZ$2.28
NZ$3.14
+37.8%
17.8%NZ$3.90NZ$2.50NZ$1.486
Jun ’24NZ$2.24
NZ$3.19
+42.5%
15.2%NZ$3.90NZ$2.50NZ$1.747
May ’24NZ$2.36
NZ$3.26
+38.0%
14.4%NZ$3.90NZ$2.50NZ$1.757
Apr ’24NZ$2.39
NZ$3.26
+36.3%
14.4%NZ$3.90NZ$2.50NZ$2.087
Mar ’24NZ$2.53
NZ$3.26
+28.7%
14.4%NZ$3.90NZ$2.50NZ$1.977
Feb ’24NZ$2.52
NZ$3.49
+38.3%
9.0%NZ$4.00NZ$3.10NZ$2.017
Jan ’24NZ$2.37
NZ$3.49
+47.1%
9.0%NZ$4.00NZ$3.10NZ$1.827
Dec ’23NZ$2.79
NZ$3.53
+26.5%
8.5%NZ$4.05NZ$3.10NZ$1.897
Nov ’23NZ$2.89
NZ$3.55
+22.8%
8.8%NZ$4.05NZ$3.10NZ$1.837
Oct ’23NZ$2.71
NZ$3.50
+29.2%
9.3%NZ$4.05NZ$3.10NZ$1.937
Sep ’23NZ$2.85
NZ$3.44
+20.8%
9.3%NZ$4.05NZ$3.10NZ$2.337
Aug ’23NZ$2.78
NZ$3.41
+22.6%
8.9%NZ$3.95NZ$3.10NZ$2.237
Jul ’23NZ$2.93
NZ$3.38
+15.5%
9.4%NZ$3.95NZ$3.10NZ$2.287

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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