Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With Elmera Group ASA's (OB:ELMRA) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%

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OB:ELMRA

Elmera Group ASA (OB:ELMRA) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 89% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Elmera Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 54.6x, since almost half of all companies in Norway have P/E ratios under 10x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Elmera Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Elmera Group

OB:ELMRA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 23rd 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Elmera Group.

How Is Elmera Group's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Elmera Group would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 49%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 87% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 287% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 31%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Elmera Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Elmera Group's P/E

Elmera Group's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Elmera Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Having said that, be aware Elmera Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Elmera Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Elmera Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.