Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA's (OB:NAS) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA's (OB:NAS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Norway, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 12x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Norwegian Air Shuttle certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Norwegian Air Shuttle's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 15% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.1% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 22% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Norwegian Air Shuttle's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Norwegian Air Shuttle's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Norwegian Air Shuttle maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Norwegian Air Shuttle with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
You might be able to find a better investment than Norwegian Air Shuttle. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:NAS
Norwegian Air Shuttle
Provides air travel services in Norway and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.