Gram Car Carriers ASA

OB:GCC Stock Report

Market Cap: NOK 7.6b

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Gram Car Carriers Valuation

Is GCC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GCC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GCC (NOK261.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK1173.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GCC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GCC?

Key metric: As GCC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GCC. This is calculated by dividing GCC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GCC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.1x
EarningsUS$112.15m
Market CapUS$688.14m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GCC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GCC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.2x
FROY Frøy
26.7xn/aNOK 6.6b
MPCC MPC Container Ships
3.8x-33.2%NOK 10.3b
KCC Klaveness Combination Carriers
4.4x-17.4%NOK 4.8b
BELCO Belships
5.8x13.0%NOK 4.4b
GCC Gram Car Carriers
6.1x-0.5%NOK 7.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GCC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the peer average (5.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GCC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Shipping Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GCC 6.1xIndustry Avg. 7.6xNo. of Companies7PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GCC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the European Shipping industry average (7.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GCC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GCC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.1x
Fair PE Ratio7.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GCC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GCC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
NOK 270.27
0%
0.5%NOK 271.68NOK 268.86n/a2
Nov ’25n/a
NOK 270.27
0%
0.5%NOK 271.68NOK 268.86n/a2
Oct ’25n/a
NOK 270.27
0%
0.5%NOK 271.68NOK 268.86n/a2
Sep ’25n/a
NOK 270.27
0%
0.5%NOK 271.68NOK 268.86n/a2
Aug ’25NOK 261.50
NOK 264.49
+1.1%
1.4%NOK 268.28NOK 259.69n/a3
Jul ’25NOK 262.50
NOK 259.20
-1.3%
2.1%NOK 264.97NOK 252.14n/a3
Jun ’25NOK 258.50
NOK 259.20
+0.3%
2.1%NOK 264.97NOK 252.14n/a3
May ’25NOK 257.50
NOK 267.23
+3.8%
1.4%NOK 272.25NOK 263.53n/a3
Apr ’25NOK 199.20
NOK 265.75
+33.4%
0.6%NOK 268.09NOK 264.58n/a3
Mar ’25NOK 215.00
NOK 265.75
+23.6%
0.6%NOK 268.09NOK 264.58n/a3
Feb ’25NOK 229.00
NOK 243.14
+6.2%
6.6%NOK 265.30NOK 227.85n/a3
Jan ’25NOK 208.00
NOK 240.92
+15.8%
7.3%NOK 265.22NOK 224.62n/a3
Dec ’24NOK 206.00
NOK 254.44
+23.5%
3.2%NOK 264.74NOK 244.76n/a3
Nov ’24NOK 205.50
NOK 247.28
+20.3%
3.9%NOK 258.29NOK 234.68n/a3
Oct ’24NOK 170.60
NOK 242.08
+41.9%
2.3%NOK 250.12NOK 238.06n/a3
Sep ’24NOK 169.80
NOK 241.16
+42.0%
2.6%NOK 249.96NOK 236.76n/a3
Aug ’24NOK 158.00
NOK 230.94
+46.2%
2.3%NOK 236.37NOK 223.60NOK 261.503
Jul ’24NOK 161.40
NOK 239.03
+48.1%
3.8%NOK 250.45NOK 228.08NOK 262.503
Jun ’24NOK 167.80
NOK 247.00
+47.2%
4.2%NOK 260.21NOK 235.00NOK 258.503
May ’24NOK 178.60
NOK 239.04
+33.8%
2.8%NOK 248.67NOK 234.23NOK 257.503
Apr ’24NOK 142.12
NOK 226.51
+59.4%
5.2%NOK 234.96NOK 209.79NOK 199.203
Mar ’24NOK 149.00
NOK 226.51
+52.0%
5.2%NOK 234.96NOK 209.79NOK 215.003
Feb ’24NOK 149.82
NOK 241.33
+61.1%
5.5%NOK 259.53NOK 228.72NOK 229.003
Jan ’24NOK 162.12
NOK 246.07
+51.8%
5.5%NOK 259.48NOK 232.66NOK 208.002
Dec ’23NOK 159.10
NOK 251.11
+57.8%
3.3%NOK 259.34NOK 242.89NOK 206.002
Nov ’23NOK 185.00
NOK 234.58
+26.8%
2.1%NOK 239.42NOK 229.75NOK 205.502

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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