Stock Analysis

Elkem ASA's (OB:ELK) Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

OB:ELK
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Elkem ASA's (OB:ELK) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in Norway, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.9x and even P/S above 23x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Elkem

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:ELK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 27th 2024

How Has Elkem Performed Recently?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Elkem's and the industry's retreating revenue lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think the company's revenue may begin to slide even faster. You'd much rather the company continue improving its revenue if you still believe in the business. At the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Elkem.

How Is Elkem's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Elkem's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 24%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 28% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 11% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 38%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Elkem is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Elkem's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Elkem you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Elkem is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.