Lerøy Seafood Group Valuation

Is LSG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LSG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LSG (NOK47.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK176.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LSG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LSG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LSG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.6x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LSG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LSG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.5x
BAKKA P/F Bakkafrost
26.1x19.2%kr39.5b
AUSS Austevoll Seafood
58.8x42.0%kr17.2b
ORK Orkla
14.1x7.8%kr73.5b
MOWI Mowi
18.8x27.7%kr98.8b
LSG Lerøy Seafood Group
104x42.6%kr28.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LSG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (104x) compared to the peer average (29.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LSG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LSG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (104x) compared to the European Food industry average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LSG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LSG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio104x
Fair PE Ratio34.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LSG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (104x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LSG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr48.10
kr54.33
+13.0%
4.7%kr58.00kr51.00n/a6
Apr ’25kr47.76
kr54.33
+13.8%
4.7%kr58.00kr51.00n/a6
Mar ’25kr47.28
kr52.50
+11.0%
4.1%kr55.00kr49.00n/a6
Feb ’25kr42.10
kr51.33
+21.9%
5.8%kr55.00kr47.00n/a6
Jan ’25kr41.84
kr51.67
+23.5%
7.5%kr58.00kr47.00n/a6
Dec ’24kr41.98
kr51.67
+23.1%
7.5%kr58.00kr47.00n/a6
Nov ’24kr44.22
kr58.82
+33.0%
11.8%kr72.00kr50.00n/a6
Oct ’24kr44.88
kr58.98
+31.4%
11.5%kr72.00kr50.00n/a6
Sep ’24kr43.84
kr58.98
+34.5%
11.5%kr72.00kr50.00n/a6
Aug ’24kr42.58
kr63.41
+48.9%
11.6%kr72.00kr50.00n/a7
Jul ’24kr40.72
kr64.82
+59.2%
10.9%kr72.00kr50.00n/a6
Jun ’24kr49.38
kr64.82
+31.3%
10.9%kr72.00kr50.00n/a6
May ’24kr56.05
kr63.94
+14.1%
9.8%kr72.00kr50.00n/a7
Apr ’24kr54.30
kr64.10
+18.0%
6.5%kr72.00kr60.00kr47.766
Mar ’24kr51.05
kr61.66
+20.8%
9.7%kr72.00kr50.00kr47.287
Feb ’24kr59.40
kr63.14
+6.3%
13.1%kr75.00kr52.00kr42.107
Jan ’24kr55.15
kr58.79
+6.6%
13.7%kr72.00kr44.00kr41.847
Dec ’23kr48.70
kr58.92
+21.0%
15.0%kr72.00kr44.00kr41.986
Nov ’23kr48.28
kr57.57
+19.2%
16.6%kr72.00kr40.00kr44.227
Oct ’23kr42.78
kr78.57
+83.7%
15.9%kr92.00kr60.00kr44.887
Sep ’23kr67.60
kr78.57
+16.2%
15.9%kr92.00kr60.00kr43.847
Aug ’23kr75.50
kr86.83
+15.0%
13.4%kr100.00kr70.00kr42.586
Jul ’23kr70.10
kr84.80
+21.0%
14.3%kr100.00kr69.00kr40.725
Jun ’23kr72.65
kr84.80
+16.7%
14.3%kr100.00kr69.00kr49.385
May ’23kr88.70
kr87.40
-1.5%
16.5%kr102.00kr68.00kr56.055
Apr ’23kr83.25
kr86.00
+3.3%
15.4%kr100.00kr68.00kr54.305

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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