Grieg Seafood Valuation

Is GSF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GSF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GSF (NOK70.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK74.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GSF is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GSF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GSF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GSF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GSF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average64.9x
AUSS Austevoll Seafood
59.6x42.0%kr17.4b
IFISH Ice Fish Farm
54x49.4%kr3.9b
ISLAX Icelandic Salmon
40.8x50.9%kr4.1b
LSG Lerøy Seafood Group
105.1x42.6%kr28.6b
GSF Grieg Seafood
14.2x21.6%kr7.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GSF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the peer average (64.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GSF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GSF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the European Food industry average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GSF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GSF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.2x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GSF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GSF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr70.65
kr71.83
+1.7%
11.2%kr80.00kr55.00n/a6
Apr ’25kr68.00
kr72.67
+6.9%
11.8%kr80.00kr55.00n/a6
Mar ’25kr66.80
kr71.17
+6.5%
13.6%kr80.00kr55.00n/a6
Feb ’25kr65.70
kr75.50
+14.9%
12.4%kr85.00kr61.00n/a6
Jan ’25kr68.30
kr77.80
+13.9%
8.3%kr85.00kr66.00n/a6
Dec ’24kr65.05
kr77.36
+18.9%
9.1%kr85.00kr66.00n/a5
Nov ’24kr73.00
kr87.25
+19.5%
3.2%kr90.00kr83.50n/a6
Oct ’24kr78.20
kr89.64
+14.6%
4.8%kr96.20kr85.00n/a5
Sep ’24kr77.30
kr89.64
+16.0%
4.8%kr96.20kr85.00n/a5
Aug ’24kr73.10
kr100.20
+37.1%
5.5%kr105.00kr90.00n/a5
Jul ’24kr67.10
kr97.33
+45.1%
8.4%kr105.00kr83.00n/a6
Jun ’24kr84.55
kr98.00
+15.9%
7.8%kr105.00kr83.00n/a6
May ’24kr89.30
kr90.95
+1.8%
6.9%kr100.00kr83.00n/a6
Apr ’24kr81.75
kr87.95
+7.6%
7.4%kr100.00kr80.00kr68.006
Mar ’24kr73.60
kr87.45
+18.8%
7.3%kr100.00kr80.00kr66.806
Feb ’24kr90.55
kr91.83
+1.4%
12.5%kr115.00kr81.00kr65.706
Jan ’24kr78.60
kr83.67
+6.4%
7.0%kr90.00kr73.00kr68.306
Dec ’23kr69.90
kr82.83
+18.5%
7.8%kr90.00kr73.00kr65.056
Nov ’23kr71.70
kr91.00
+26.9%
13.1%kr110.00kr79.00kr73.005
Oct ’23kr73.60
kr146.20
+98.6%
22.2%kr170.00kr83.00kr78.205
Sep ’23kr121.00
kr146.20
+20.8%
22.2%kr170.00kr83.00kr77.305
Aug ’23kr144.00
kr150.17
+4.3%
20.1%kr170.00kr83.00kr73.106
Jul ’23kr138.80
kr147.00
+5.9%
21.9%kr170.00kr83.00kr67.105
Jun ’23kr140.60
kr145.00
+3.1%
21.4%kr162.00kr83.00kr84.555
May ’23kr140.80
kr131.00
-7.0%
20.6%kr162.00kr83.00kr89.305
Apr ’23kr126.60
kr122.80
-3.0%
18.0%kr150.00kr83.00kr81.755

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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