Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Seadrill Limited (OB:SDRL)

OB:SDRL
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Energy Services industry in Norway have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, Seadrill Limited (OB:SDRL) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 2.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Seadrill

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:SDRL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

How Seadrill Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Seadrill as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Seadrill.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Seadrill's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. As a result, it also grew revenue by 5.5% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's alarming that Seadrill's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Seadrill, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Seadrill that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Seadrill's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Seadrill is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.