The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. (OB:OET) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Okeanis Eco Tankers
How Much Debt Does Okeanis Eco Tankers Carry?
As you can see below, Okeanis Eco Tankers had US$588.7m of debt at September 2021, down from US$849.4m a year prior. However, it also had US$19.4m in cash, and so its net debt is US$569.3m.
A Look At Okeanis Eco Tankers' Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Okeanis Eco Tankers had liabilities of US$203.5m due within a year, and liabilities of US$545.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$19.4m in cash and US$13.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$716.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$245.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Okeanis Eco Tankers would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Okeanis Eco Tankers shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.4 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Okeanis Eco Tankers saw its EBIT tank 71% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Okeanis Eco Tankers's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Okeanis Eco Tankers burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Okeanis Eco Tankers's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Okeanis Eco Tankers is carrying heavy debt load. If you play with fire you risk getting burnt, so we'd probably give this stock a wide berth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Okeanis Eco Tankers is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:OET
Okeanis Eco Tankers
A shipping company, owns and operates tanker vessels worldwide.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.