Stock Analysis

Kongsberg Gruppen (OB:KOG) Could Easily Take On More Debt

OB:KOG
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Kongsberg Gruppen ASA (OB:KOG) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kongsberg Gruppen

What Is Kongsberg Gruppen's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kongsberg Gruppen had debt of kr2.45b at the end of September 2022, a reduction from kr2.95b over a year. On the flip side, it has kr2.23b in cash leading to net debt of about kr225.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:KOG Debt to Equity History December 28th 2022

How Healthy Is Kongsberg Gruppen's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kongsberg Gruppen had liabilities of kr21.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr6.42b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of kr2.23b and kr15.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr9.80b.

Of course, Kongsberg Gruppen has a market capitalization of kr74.0b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Kongsberg Gruppen has a very light debt load indeed.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With debt at a measly 0.059 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 18.2 times, it's clear that Kongsberg Gruppen is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. And we also note warmly that Kongsberg Gruppen grew its EBIT by 17% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kongsberg Gruppen can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Kongsberg Gruppen recorded free cash flow worth 79% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Kongsberg Gruppen's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Overall, we don't think Kongsberg Gruppen is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Kongsberg Gruppen you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kongsberg Gruppen is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.