Galapagos Valuation

Is GLPG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GLPG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GLPG's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GLPG's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GLPG?

Key metric: As GLPG is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GLPG. This is calculated by dividing GLPG's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GLPG's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio6.5x
Sales€260.09m
Market Cap€1.69b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GLPG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GLPG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.8x
PHARM Pharming Group
2.2x9.3%€597.3m
DVAX Dynavax Technologies
6.4x17.6%US$1.7b
XNCR Xencor
19.8x28.4%US$1.7b
9969 InnoCare Pharma
10.9x26.0%HK$12.4b
GLPG Galapagos
6.5x3.9%€1.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GLPG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GLPG's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

41 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GLPG 6.5xIndustry Avg. 8.1xNo. of Companies41PS0816243240+
41 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GLPG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.5x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (8.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GLPG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GLPG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio6.5x
Fair PS Ratio1.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GLPG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GLPG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.58
€35.37
+38.3%
21.5%€50.00€28.00n/a9
Dec ’25€26.26
€35.37
+34.7%
21.5%€50.00€28.00n/a9
Nov ’25€24.78
€35.59
+43.6%
21.0%€50.00€28.00n/a9
Oct ’25€25.66
€36.03
+40.4%
18.3%€50.00€30.00n/a10
Sep ’25€26.38
€36.03
+36.6%
18.3%€50.00€30.00n/a10
Aug ’25€24.96
€36.73
+47.2%
16.9%€50.00€30.00n/a10
Jul ’25€23.44
€36.73
+56.7%
16.9%€50.00€30.00n/a10
Jun ’25€25.74
€36.73
+42.7%
16.9%€50.00€30.00n/a10
May ’25€26.58
€38.43
+44.6%
15.7%€50.00€30.00n/a10
Apr ’25€29.58
€39.43
+33.3%
16.7%€55.00€33.00n/a10
Mar ’25€32.30
€39.53
+22.4%
16.6%€55.00€33.00n/a10
Feb ’25€34.50
€39.94
+15.8%
14.9%€55.00€34.00n/a11
Jan ’25€36.99
€39.85
+7.7%
14.8%€55.00€34.00n/a11
Dec ’24€34.57
€40.57
+17.4%
13.8%€55.00€35.00€26.2611
Nov ’24€31.43
€41.12
+30.8%
12.9%€55.00€35.00€24.7811
Oct ’24€32.53
€41.12
+26.4%
12.9%€55.00€35.00€25.6611
Sep ’24€35.24
€41.03
+16.4%
13.0%€55.00€35.00€26.3810
Aug ’24€38.13
€41.72
+9.4%
15.3%€55.00€35.00€24.969
Jul ’24€37.37
€40.06
+7.2%
11.5%€51.00€35.00€23.448
Jun ’24€38.20
€40.06
+4.9%
11.5%€51.00€35.00€25.748
May ’24€35.09
€41.78
+19.1%
15.2%€51.00€35.00€26.586
Apr ’24€35.33
€45.94
+30.0%
25.4%€67.00€35.00€29.585
Mar ’24€35.10
€46.78
+33.3%
21.7%€67.00€35.00€32.306
Feb ’24€39.85
€51.78
+29.9%
20.2%€67.00€40.00€34.506
Jan ’24€41.35
€52.86
+27.8%
17.7%€67.00€40.00€36.997
Dec ’23€38.08
€55.00
+44.4%
18.4%€67.00€40.00€34.577

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 09:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Galapagos NV is covered by 34 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
René VerhoefABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Emily FieldBarclays
Patrick TrucchioBerenberg