JDE Peet's Valuation

Is JDEP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JDEP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JDEP (€19.87) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€47.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JDEP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JDEP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

JDEP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.8x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JDEP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JDEP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.9x
HEIO Heineken Holding
33.7xn/a€18.1b
CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
20x9.8%€32.3b
HEIA Heineken
40.1x25.2%€42.2b
002311 Guangdong Haid Group
18x12.3%CN¥74.1b
JDEP JDE Peet's
18.2x10.8%€9.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JDEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the peer average (27.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JDEP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JDEP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JDEP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JDEP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.2x
Fair PE Ratio20.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JDEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JDEP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.87
€23.43
+17.9%
10.2%€28.50€19.00n/a14
Oct ’25€18.59
€23.18
+24.7%
10.6%€28.50€19.00n/a12
Sep ’25€20.72
€23.35
+12.7%
10.8%€28.50€19.00n/a12
Aug ’25€20.78
€22.57
+8.6%
10.5%€27.00€18.00n/a13
Jul ’25€18.77
€22.61
+20.5%
11.7%€27.00€18.00n/a13
Jun ’25€20.22
€23.38
+15.6%
13.1%€30.50€18.00n/a13
May ’25€20.82
€23.38
+12.3%
13.1%€30.50€18.00n/a13
Apr ’25€19.46
€23.52
+20.9%
12.4%€30.50€18.00n/a12
Mar ’25€21.18
€24.31
+14.8%
10.9%€30.50€21.00n/a12
Feb ’25€22.72
€26.73
+17.6%
13.3%€36.40€23.00n/a12
Jan ’25€24.36
€27.47
+12.8%
11.3%€36.40€24.00n/a12
Dec ’24€24.44
€27.94
+14.3%
11.3%€36.40€24.00n/a12
Nov ’24€26.38
€28.43
+7.8%
10.6%€36.40€25.00€19.8711
Oct ’24€26.42
€28.18
+6.7%
10.7%€36.40€25.00€18.5912
Sep ’24€25.66
€28.42
+10.7%
10.8%€36.40€25.00€20.7213
Aug ’24€27.34
€29.87
+9.2%
13.2%€37.26€25.00€20.7813
Jul ’24€27.26
€30.36
+11.4%
12.6%€37.26€25.00€18.7713
Jun ’24€27.32
€30.66
+12.2%
12.8%€38.41€25.00€20.2213
May ’24€27.60
€30.97
+12.2%
13.6%€38.41€25.00€20.8213
Apr ’24€26.82
€30.97
+15.5%
13.6%€38.41€25.00€19.4613
Mar ’24€27.48
€30.79
+12.1%
13.3%€38.41€25.00€21.1814
Feb ’24€27.76
€31.48
+13.4%
18.4%€46.47€24.85€22.7214
Jan ’24€27.02
€32.23
+19.3%
17.6%€46.47€25.00€24.3614
Dec ’23€28.50
€32.24
+13.1%
17.4%€46.47€25.00€24.4413
Nov ’23€29.02
€32.80
+13.0%
15.7%€46.47€25.00€26.3814

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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