Stock Analysis

Does Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (AMS:CCEP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ENXTAM:CCEP
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (AMS:CCEP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Coca-Cola Europacific Partners

What Is Coca-Cola Europacific Partners's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Coca-Cola Europacific Partners had debt of €11.4b at the end of December 2022, a reduction from €12.5b over a year. On the flip side, it has €1.74b in cash leading to net debt of about €9.66b.

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ENXTAM:CCEP Debt to Equity History June 27th 2023

A Look At Coca-Cola Europacific Partners' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Coca-Cola Europacific Partners had liabilities of €7.31b due within 12 months and liabilities of €14.6b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.74b and €2.99b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €17.1b.

This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of €27.0b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.6, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 19.7 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Also relevant is that Coca-Cola Europacific Partners has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 21% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Coca-Cola Europacific Partners can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Happily, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Coca-Cola Europacific Partners can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Coca-Cola Europacific Partners is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.