Stock Analysis

Is Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (AMS:AD) Using Too Much Debt?

ENXTAM:AD
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. (AMS:AD) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize

What Is Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize had €8.12b of debt in October 2021, down from €8.48b, one year before. However, it also had €5.17b in cash, and so its net debt is €2.95b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTAM:AD Debt to Equity History December 20th 2021

How Healthy Is Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize had liabilities of €15.5b due within a year, and liabilities of €17.8b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €5.17b as well as receivables valued at €1.94b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €26.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of €30.4b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize has net debt of just 0.54 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 8.0 times, which is more than adequate. Another good sign is that Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Happily, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.