Stock Analysis

Does Amsterdam Commodities's (AMS:ACOMO) Statutory Profit Adequately Reflect Its Underlying Profit?

ENXTAM:ACOMO
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As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Amsterdam Commodities (AMS:ACOMO).

While Amsterdam Commodities was able to generate revenue of €712.1m in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of €32.6m was more important. While it managed to grow its revenue over the last three years, its profit has moved in the other direction, as you can see in the chart below.

See our latest analysis for Amsterdam Commodities

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTAM:ACOMO Earnings and Revenue History January 28th 2021

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. In this article we'll look at how Amsterdam Commodities is impacting shareholders by issuing new shares. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Amsterdam Commodities issued 20% more new shares over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Amsterdam Commodities' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

A Look At The Impact Of Amsterdam Commodities' Dilution on Its Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Unfortunately, Amsterdam Commodities' profit is down 5.6% per year over three years. The good news is that profit was up 3.9% in the last twelve months. But EPS was less impressive, up only 3.9% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Amsterdam Commodities can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Our Take On Amsterdam Commodities' Profit Performance

Amsterdam Commodities shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Because of this, we think that it may be that Amsterdam Commodities' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. And we are pleased to note that EPS is at least heading in the right direction in the alst twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Amsterdam Commodities at this point in time. For example, we've found that Amsterdam Commodities has 4 warning signs (1 is significant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Amsterdam Commodities' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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