MTN Nigeria Communications PLC

NGSE:MTNN Stock Report

Market Cap: ₦4.8t

MTN Nigeria Communications Valuation

Is MTNN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTNN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTNN (NGN231) is trading above our estimate of fair value (NGN129.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTNN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTNN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MTNN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.3x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MTNN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MTNN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
TIGO Millicom International Cellular
0.6x3.0%US$3.4b
7030 Mobile Telecommunications Company Saudi Arabia
1.2x4.4%ر.س11.4b
GP Grameenphone
2.1x3.8%৳326.2b
AFKS Sistema Financial
0.2xn/a₽142.3b
MTNN MTN Nigeria Communications
2x16.5%₦4.8t

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MTNN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTNN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Wireless Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MTNN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the Global Wireless Telecom industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTNN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTNN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MTNN's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTNN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₦231.00
₦243.68
+5.5%
16.6%₦318.20₦195.10n/a7
Mar ’25₦200.70
₦274.82
+36.9%
17.5%₦326.50₦200.00n/a6
Feb ’25₦275.00
₦285.52
+3.8%
16.0%₦326.50₦200.00n/a5
Jan ’25₦264.00
₦285.92
+8.3%
16.0%₦326.50₦200.00n/a5
Dec ’24₦238.00
₦285.92
+20.1%
16.0%₦326.50₦200.00n/a5
Nov ’24₦246.00
₦289.68
+17.8%
15.3%₦340.46₦200.00n/a6
Oct ’24₦264.00
₦289.68
+9.7%
15.3%₦340.46₦200.00n/a6
Sep ’24₦274.40
₦298.01
+8.6%
9.6%₦340.46₦250.00n/a6
Aug ’24₦263.00
₦293.34
+11.5%
8.4%₦327.37₦250.00n/a7
Jul ’24₦273.40
₦293.34
+7.3%
8.4%₦327.37₦250.00n/a7
Jun ’24₦249.90
₦293.34
+17.4%
8.4%₦327.37₦250.00n/a7
May ’24₦228.70
₦291.09
+27.3%
13.1%₦352.96₦234.00n/a7
Apr ’24₦240.00
₦290.53
+21.1%
14.2%₦352.96₦234.00n/a6
Mar ’24₦245.00
₦279.60
+14.1%
10.1%₦317.30₦234.00₦200.707
Feb ’24₦225.00
₦260.84
+15.9%
11.7%₦313.08₦226.00₦275.006
Jan ’24₦215.00
₦252.10
+17.3%
11.4%₦292.17₦221.46₦264.006
Dec ’23₦215.00
₦250.37
+16.5%
10.7%₦292.17₦221.46₦238.007
Nov ’23₦196.90
₦255.39
+29.7%
9.8%₦292.17₦221.46₦246.007
Oct ’23₦199.80
₦253.17
+26.7%
9.5%₦292.17₦221.46₦264.008
Sep ’23₦199.00
₦257.70
+29.5%
8.7%₦292.17₦234.00₦274.407
Aug ’23₦200.10
₦250.11
+25.0%
11.6%₦292.73₦206.00₦263.008
Jul ’23₦230.00
₦250.12
+8.7%
12.4%₦292.73₦206.00₦273.407
Jun ’23₦230.00
₦241.32
+4.9%
10.9%₦292.73₦206.00₦249.907
May ’23₦214.50
₦231.49
+7.9%
6.5%₦253.50₦206.00₦228.706
Apr ’23₦214.00
₦231.49
+8.2%
6.5%₦253.50₦206.00₦240.006
Mar ’23₦203.00
₦230.45
+13.5%
6.4%₦253.50₦206.00₦245.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.