Stock Analysis

NationGate Holdings Berhad (KLSE:NATGATE) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

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KLSE:NATGATE

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that NationGate Holdings Berhad (KLSE:NATGATE) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for NationGate Holdings Berhad

How Much Debt Does NationGate Holdings Berhad Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NationGate Holdings Berhad had debt of RM78.7m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from RM266.9m over a year. However, it also had RM33.8m in cash, and so its net debt is RM44.9m.

KLSE:NATGATE Debt to Equity History February 13th 2024

How Strong Is NationGate Holdings Berhad's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that NationGate Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM271.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM46.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM33.8m as well as receivables valued at RM189.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM94.6m.

Given NationGate Holdings Berhad has a market capitalization of RM2.97b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

NationGate Holdings Berhad has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.33. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the other side of the story is that NationGate Holdings Berhad saw its EBIT decline by 3.6% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NationGate Holdings Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, NationGate Holdings Berhad created free cash flow amounting to 18% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

NationGate Holdings Berhad's net debt to EBITDA was a real positive on this analysis, as was its interest cover. Having said that, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Considering this range of data points, we think NationGate Holdings Berhad is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in NationGate Holdings Berhad, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NationGate Holdings Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.