Stock Analysis

Is JCY International Berhad (KLSE:JCY) A Risky Investment?

KLSE:JCY
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that JCY International Berhad (KLSE:JCY) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for JCY International Berhad

What Is JCY International Berhad's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 JCY International Berhad had RM96.3m of debt, an increase on RM90.8m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds RM291.1m in cash, so it actually has RM194.8m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:JCY Debt to Equity History March 4th 2022

How Healthy Is JCY International Berhad's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, JCY International Berhad had liabilities of RM274.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RM20.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had RM291.1m in cash and RM240.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has RM236.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that JCY International Berhad's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, JCY International Berhad boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is JCY International Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year JCY International Berhad's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

So How Risky Is JCY International Berhad?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that JCY International Berhad had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of RM77m and booked a RM11m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of RM194.8m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that JCY International Berhad is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.