Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Amlex Holdings Berhad (KLSE:AMLEX) Even After 81% Share Price Boost

KLSE:AMLEX
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Despite an already strong run, Amlex Holdings Berhad (KLSE:AMLEX) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 81% in the last thirty days. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Amlex Holdings Berhad's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Malaysia, where the median P/E ratio is around 14x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Amlex Holdings Berhad has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Amlex Holdings Berhad

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KLSE:AMLEX Price Based on Past Earnings July 4th 2022
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Amlex Holdings Berhad will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Amlex Holdings Berhad's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 264% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 4,747% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Amlex Holdings Berhad is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Amlex Holdings Berhad's P/E

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Amlex Holdings Berhad's P/E is also back up to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Amlex Holdings Berhad currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Amlex Holdings Berhad you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Amlex Holdings Berhad. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.