Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Nexgram Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:NEXGRAM) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 33%

KLSE:NEXGRAM
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Nexgram Holdings Berhad (KLSE:NEXGRAM) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 33% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Nexgram Holdings Berhad's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in Malaysia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.5x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Nexgram Holdings Berhad

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:NEXGRAM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Has Nexgram Holdings Berhad Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Nexgram Holdings Berhad has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Nexgram Holdings Berhad, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Nexgram Holdings Berhad's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Nexgram Holdings Berhad's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 54% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 16% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Nexgram Holdings Berhad's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Nexgram Holdings Berhad's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

In line with expectations, Nexgram Holdings Berhad maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Nexgram Holdings Berhad you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Nexgram Holdings Berhad's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nexgram Holdings Berhad might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.