Stock Analysis

Should AYER Holdings Berhad (KLSE:AYER) Be Disappointed With Their 29% Profit?

KLSE:AYER
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Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. To wit, the AYER Holdings Berhad (KLSE:AYER) share price is 29% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 6.2% (not including dividends) in the same period. If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 17% in three years.

Check out our latest analysis for AYER Holdings Berhad

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over the last twelve months, AYER Holdings Berhad actually shrank its EPS by 19%.

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.

We doubt the modest 0.8% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. AYER Holdings Berhad's revenue actually dropped 13% over last year. So using a snapshot of key business metrics doesn't give us a good picture of why the market is bidding up the stock.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
KLSE:AYER Earnings and Revenue Growth December 11th 2020

This free interactive report on AYER Holdings Berhad's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that AYER Holdings Berhad has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 30% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 1.9% per year over five years. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand AYER Holdings Berhad better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that AYER Holdings Berhad is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on MY exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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