Stock Analysis

Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad (KLSE:MSC) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

KLSE:MSC
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad (KLSE:MSC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad

How Much Debt Does Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad had debt of RM456.3m at the end of December 2021, a reduction from RM478.0m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM122.6m, its net debt is less, at about RM333.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:MSC Debt to Equity History April 28th 2022

A Look At Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad had liabilities of RM634.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM99.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM122.6m and RM29.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling RM581.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad has a market capitalization of RM1.96b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.1, Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 9.1 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Pleasingly, Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 230% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.