Stock Analysis

At RM2.99, Is It Time To Put Malayan Cement Berhad (KLSE:MCEMENT) On Your Watch List?

KLSE:MCEMENT
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Malayan Cement Berhad (KLSE:MCEMENT), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the KLSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Malayan Cement Berhad’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Malayan Cement Berhad

What Is Malayan Cement Berhad Worth?

Malayan Cement Berhad appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 34.48x is currently well-above the industry average of 24.4x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. Furthermore, Malayan Cement Berhad’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach levels around its industry peers, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

What kind of growth will Malayan Cement Berhad generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
KLSE:MCEMENT Earnings and Revenue Growth June 14th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Malayan Cement Berhad's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 47%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in MCEMENT’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe MCEMENT should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MCEMENT for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for MCEMENT, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Malayan Cement Berhad, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Malayan Cement Berhad and you'll want to know about it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.