Here's How We Evaluate Hil Industries Berhad's (KLSE:HIL) Dividend
Could Hil Industries Berhad (KLSE:HIL) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. On the other hand, investors have been known to buy a stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.
A 1.0% yield is nothing to get excited about, but investors probably think the long payment history suggests Hil Industries Berhad has some staying power. That said, the recent jump in the share price will make Hil Industries Berhad's dividend yield look smaller, even though the company prospects could be improving. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding Hil Industries Berhad for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.
Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Hil Industries Berhad!
Payout ratios
Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Hil Industries Berhad paid out 17% of its profit as dividends, over the trailing twelve month period. With a low payout ratio, it looks like the dividend is comprehensively covered by earnings.
Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. Last year, Hil Industries Berhad paid a dividend while reporting negative free cash flow. While there may be an explanation, we think this behaviour is generally not sustainable.
With a strong net cash balance, Hil Industries Berhad investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.
We update our data on Hil Industries Berhad every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.
Dividend Volatility
Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. Hil Industries Berhad has been paying dividends for a long time, but for the purpose of this analysis, we only examine the past 10 years of payments. This dividend has been unstable, which we define as having been cut one or more times over this time. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was RM0.03 in 2010, compared to RM0.01 last year. This works out to be a decline of approximately 7.8% per year over that time. Hil Industries Berhad's dividend has been cut sharply at least once, so it hasn't fallen by 7.8% every year, but this is a decent approximation of the long term change.
We struggle to make a case for buying Hil Industries Berhad for its dividend, given that payments have shrunk over the past 10 years.
Dividend Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS are growing. Earnings have grown at around 3.8% a year for the past five years, which is better than seeing them shrink! So, we know earnings growth has been thin on the ground. On the plus side, the dividend payout ratio is low and dividends could grow faster than earnings, if the company decides to increase its payout ratio.
Conclusion
When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. Firstly, the company has a conservative payout ratio, although we'd note that its cashflow in the past year was substantially lower than its reported profit. Second, earnings growth has been ordinary, and its history of dividend payments is chequered - having cut its dividend at least once in the past. In sum, we find it hard to get excited about Hil Industries Berhad from a dividend perspective. It's not that we think it's a bad business; just that there are other companies that perform better on these criteria.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hil Industries Berhad that you should be aware of before investing.
We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.
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About KLSE:HIL
Hil Industries Berhad
An investment holding company, manufactures and sells industrial and domestic molded plastic products in Malaysia and the People’s Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.