Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy HeveaBoard Berhad (KLSE:HEVEA)?

KLSE:HEVEA
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HeveaBoard Berhad (KLSE:HEVEA), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the KLSE, rising to highs of RM0.71 and falling to the lows of RM0.60. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether HeveaBoard Berhad's current trading price of RM0.60 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at HeveaBoard Berhad’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for HeveaBoard Berhad

What's the opportunity in HeveaBoard Berhad?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that HeveaBoard Berhad’s ratio of 21.63x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 24.58x, which means if you buy HeveaBoard Berhad today, you’d be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe HeveaBoard Berhad should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that HeveaBoard Berhad’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from HeveaBoard Berhad?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
KLSE:HEVEA Earnings and Revenue Growth April 13th 2021

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. HeveaBoard Berhad's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 54%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in HEVEA’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at HEVEA? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on HEVEA, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for HEVEA, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing HeveaBoard Berhad at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for HeveaBoard Berhad you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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