Stock Analysis

Here's Why Saudee Group Berhad (KLSE:SAUDEE) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

KLSE:SG
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Saudee Group Berhad (KLSE:SAUDEE) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Saudee Group Berhad

What Is Saudee Group Berhad's Debt?

As you can see below, Saudee Group Berhad had RM19.0m of debt at January 2021, down from RM26.9m a year prior. On the flip side, it has RM6.05m in cash leading to net debt of about RM12.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:SAUDEE Debt to Equity History April 8th 2021

How Healthy Is Saudee Group Berhad's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Saudee Group Berhad had liabilities of RM28.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of RM5.81m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM6.05m as well as receivables valued at RM18.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM9.13m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Saudee Group Berhad has a market capitalization of RM47.4m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Saudee Group Berhad's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 4.5 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. We also note that Saudee Group Berhad improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive RM6.3m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Saudee Group Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. In the last year, Saudee Group Berhad created free cash flow amounting to 13% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Saudee Group Berhad's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, isn't too shabby at all. We think that Saudee Group Berhad's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Saudee Group Berhad you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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