Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With Guan Chong Berhad's (KLSE:GCB) Prospects As Shares Rocket 48%

KLSE:GCB
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Despite an already strong run, Guan Chong Berhad (KLSE:GCB) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 48% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 43% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Malaysia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Guan Chong Berhad as a stock to avoid entirely with its 44.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Guan Chong Berhad hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Guan Chong Berhad

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:GCB Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guan Chong Berhad will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Guan Chong Berhad?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guan Chong Berhad would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 36%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 61% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 44% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 12% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Guan Chong Berhad's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Guan Chong Berhad's P/E?

Guan Chong Berhad's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Guan Chong Berhad's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Guan Chong Berhad (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Guan Chong Berhad. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.