Stock Analysis

Sunway Berhad's (KLSE:SUNWAY) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

KLSE:SUNWAY
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Sunway Berhad's (KLSE:SUNWAY) stock is up by 8.0% over the past three months. However, the company's financials look a bit inconsistent and market outcomes are ultimately driven by long-term fundamentals, meaning that the stock could head in either direction. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Sunway Berhad's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Sunway Berhad

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sunway Berhad is:

5.8% = RM888m ÷ RM15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every MYR1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of MYR0.06.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Sunway Berhad's Earnings Growth And 5.8% ROE

On the face of it, Sunway Berhad's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 7.9%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Therefore, Sunway Berhad's flat earnings over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.

As a next step, we compared Sunway Berhad's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 6.8% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
KLSE:SUNWAY Past Earnings Growth August 22nd 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Sunway Berhad is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Sunway Berhad Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 47% (implying that the company keeps 53% of its income) over the last three years, Sunway Berhad has seen a negligible amount of growth in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

In addition, Sunway Berhad has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 42% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Sunway Berhad's future ROE will be 6.1% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Sunway Berhad can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.