CFECAPITAL, S. De R.L. De C.V.

BMV:FCFE 18 Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$22.4b

CFECAPITAL S. De R.L. De Valuation

Is FCFE 18 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FCFE 18 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FCFE 18 (MX$26.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$52.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FCFE 18 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCFE 18?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FCFE 18 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ration/a

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does FCFE 18's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for FCFE 18 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
COXA * Cox Energy América. de
5.3xn/aMex$5.8b
EDHN Energiedienst Holding
1.2x-18.5%CHF1.3b
IGN1L AB Ignitis grupe
0.6x-16.0%€1.3b
TPE TAURON Polska Energia
0.3x5.6%zł5.0b
FCFE 18 CFECAPITAL S. De R.L. De
n/an/aMex$22.4b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate FCFE 18's Price-To-Book Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FCFE 18's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPB048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: Insufficient data to calculate FCFE 18's Price-To-Book Ratio vs. industry for valuation analysis.


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FCFE 18's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FCFE 18 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ration/a
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FCFE 18's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FCFE 18 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$26.18
Mex$29.94
+14.4%
10.5%Mex$35.50Mex$27.00n/a5
Apr ’25Mex$26.76
Mex$29.94
+11.9%
10.5%Mex$35.50Mex$27.00n/a5
Mar ’25Mex$27.39
Mex$29.94
+9.3%
10.5%Mex$35.50Mex$27.00n/a5
Feb ’25Mex$26.79
Mex$30.38
+13.4%
10.4%Mex$35.50Mex$27.00n/a4
Jan ’25Mex$26.50
Mex$30.38
+14.6%
10.4%Mex$35.50Mex$27.00n/a4
Dec ’24Mex$27.64
Mex$29.88
+8.1%
11.6%Mex$35.50Mex$27.00n/a4
Nov ’24Mex$26.65
Mex$29.88
+12.1%
11.6%Mex$35.50Mex$27.00n/a4
Oct ’24Mex$26.50
Mex$29.88
+12.7%
11.6%Mex$35.50Mex$27.00n/a4
Sep ’24Mex$27.00
Mex$29.00
+7.4%
7.3%Mex$32.00Mex$27.00n/a4
Aug ’24Mex$27.00
Mex$29.00
+7.4%
7.3%Mex$32.00Mex$27.00n/a4
Jul ’24Mex$27.25
Mex$29.00
+6.4%
7.3%Mex$32.00Mex$27.00n/a4
Jun ’24Mex$27.99
Mex$29.00
+3.6%
7.3%Mex$32.00Mex$27.00n/a4
May ’24Mex$27.25
Mex$28.75
+5.5%
8.3%Mex$32.00Mex$26.00n/a4
Apr ’24Mex$26.85
Mex$28.75
+7.1%
8.3%Mex$32.00Mex$26.00Mex$26.764
Mar ’24Mex$28.00
Mex$28.00
0%
11.0%Mex$32.00Mex$25.00Mex$27.394
Feb ’24Mex$27.19
Mex$28.90
+6.3%
11.4%Mex$32.50Mex$25.00Mex$26.795
Jan ’24Mex$26.16
Mex$29.51
+12.8%
12.7%Mex$33.90Mex$25.00Mex$26.506
Dec ’23Mex$25.49
Mex$29.51
+15.8%
12.7%Mex$33.90Mex$25.00Mex$27.646
Nov ’23Mex$25.50
Mex$29.51
+15.7%
12.7%Mex$33.90Mex$25.00Mex$26.656
Oct ’23Mex$25.95
Mex$29.67
+14.3%
12.0%Mex$33.90Mex$25.00Mex$26.506
Sep ’23Mex$27.41
Mex$29.67
+8.3%
12.0%Mex$33.90Mex$25.00Mex$27.006
Aug ’23Mex$25.52
Mex$29.49
+15.5%
11.4%Mex$33.00Mex$25.00Mex$27.006
Jul ’23Mex$25.78
Mex$29.49
+14.4%
11.4%Mex$33.00Mex$25.00Mex$27.256
Jun ’23Mex$25.18
Mex$28.79
+14.3%
11.3%Mex$32.80Mex$25.00Mex$27.995
May ’23Mex$25.75
Mex$28.53
+10.8%
10.4%Mex$32.50Mex$25.00Mex$27.255
Apr ’23Mex$26.07
Mex$28.53
+9.4%
10.4%Mex$32.50Mex$25.00Mex$26.855

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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