Uber Technologies Valuation
Is UBER * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of UBER * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: UBER * (MX$1480) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2603.76)
Significantly Below Fair Value: UBER * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UBER *?
Key metric: As UBER * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is UBER *'s PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 33.2x |
| Earnings | US$4.40b |
| Market Cap | US$145.99b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 42.8x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does UBER *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 30.5x | ||
GMXT * GMéxico Transportes. de | 15.7x | 22.2% | Mex$135.9b |
GAP B Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico. de | 21.4x | 15.2% | Mex$187.1b |
ALEATIC * Aleatica. de | 72.6x | n/a | Mex$150.8b |
ASUR B Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V | 12.6x | 8.4% | Mex$159.3b |
UBER * Uber Technologies | 33.2x | 21.0% | Mex$146.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UBER * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x) compared to the peer average (30.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does UBER *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Transportation Industry?
| 8 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UBER * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x) compared to the Global Transportation industry average (14.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is UBER *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 33.2x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 28.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UBER * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | Mex$1,480.00 | Mex$1,813.94 +22.6% | 9.6% | Mex$2,428.78 | Mex$1,517.99 | n/a | 50 |
| Nov ’25 | Mex$1,492.95 | Mex$1,815.21 +21.6% | 9.9% | Mex$2,433.19 | Mex$1,338.26 | n/a | 50 |
| Oct ’25 | Mex$1,476.00 | Mex$1,720.36 +16.6% | 9.1% | Mex$2,000.55 | Mex$1,294.47 | n/a | 50 |
| Sep ’25 | Mex$1,426.00 | Mex$1,714.57 +20.2% | 9.2% | Mex$2,008.45 | Mex$1,299.59 | n/a | 47 |
| Aug ’25 | Mex$1,145.71 | Mex$1,615.57 +41.0% | 9.2% | Mex$1,899.44 | Mex$1,210.43 | n/a | 47 |
| Jul ’25 | Mex$1,309.99 | Mex$1,602.26 +22.3% | 13.5% | Mex$2,652.85 | Mex$1,189.21 | n/a | 46 |
| Jun ’25 | Mex$1,088.96 | Mex$1,458.33 +33.9% | 13.3% | Mex$2,420.18 | Mex$1,084.91 | n/a | 47 |
| May ’25 | Mex$1,134.07 | Mex$1,501.32 +32.4% | 9.3% | Mex$1,764.06 | Mex$1,113.24 | n/a | 48 |
| Apr ’25 | Mex$1,272.00 | Mex$1,450.48 +14.0% | 9.1% | Mex$1,670.96 | Mex$1,086.12 | n/a | 48 |
| Mar ’25 | Mex$1,375.81 | Mex$1,480.94 +7.6% | 9.2% | Mex$1,711.80 | Mex$1,112.67 | n/a | 48 |
| Feb ’25 | Mex$1,140.00 | Mex$1,177.52 +3.3% | 11.5% | Mex$1,544.28 | Mex$892.25 | n/a | 47 |
| Jan ’25 | Mex$1,045.00 | Mex$1,097.22 +5.0% | 11.2% | Mex$1,528.22 | Mex$882.97 | n/a | 46 |
| Dec ’24 | Mex$988.46 | Mex$1,045.16 +5.7% | 10.4% | Mex$1,289.78 | Mex$670.68 | n/a | 45 |
| Nov ’24 | Mex$779.09 | Mex$1,045.32 +34.2% | 10.7% | Mex$1,357.99 | Mex$706.15 | Mex$1,492.95 | 44 |
| Oct ’24 | Mex$803.00 | Mex$994.66 +23.9% | 10.9% | Mex$1,288.16 | Mex$669.84 | Mex$1,476.00 | 43 |
| Sep ’24 | Mex$802.48 | Mex$972.75 +21.2% | 11.0% | Mex$1,259.83 | Mex$655.11 | Mex$1,426.00 | 42 |
| Aug ’24 | Mex$784.38 | Mex$922.19 +17.6% | 14.6% | Mex$1,264.60 | Mex$547.99 | Mex$1,145.71 | 42 |
| Jul ’24 | Mex$753.95 | Mex$883.33 +17.2% | 15.8% | Mex$1,283.96 | Mex$556.38 | Mex$1,309.99 | 42 |
| Jun ’24 | Mex$675.02 | Mex$876.70 +29.9% | 17.2% | Mex$1,326.63 | Mex$574.87 | Mex$1,088.96 | 41 |
| May ’24 | Mex$556.00 | Mex$858.65 +54.4% | 19.6% | Mex$1,353.42 | Mex$487.23 | Mex$1,134.07 | 40 |
| Apr ’24 | Mex$571.00 | Mex$893.01 +56.4% | 19.0% | Mex$1,394.89 | Mex$502.16 | Mex$1,272.00 | 40 |
| Mar ’24 | Mex$599.21 | Mex$867.85 +44.8% | 19.2% | Mex$1,357.72 | Mex$470.68 | Mex$1,375.81 | 40 |
| Feb ’24 | Mex$590.00 | Mex$850.48 +44.1% | 23.5% | Mex$1,396.58 | Mex$484.15 | Mex$1,140.00 | 41 |
| Jan ’24 | Mex$480.00 | Mex$897.76 +87.0% | 23.3% | Mex$1,456.33 | Mex$601.95 | Mex$1,045.00 | 41 |
| Dec ’23 | Mex$544.27 | Mex$897.76 +64.9% | 23.3% | Mex$1,456.33 | Mex$601.95 | Mex$988.46 | 41 |
| Nov ’23 | Mex$587.89 | Mex$905.61 +54.0% | 23.7% | Mex$1,478.99 | Mex$611.32 | Mex$779.09 | 42 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.