Stock Analysis

GMéxico Transportes. de (BMV:GMXT) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

BMV:GMXT *
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GMXT) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for GMéxico Transportes. de

What Is GMéxico Transportes. de's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2021, GMéxico Transportes. de had Mex$31.6b of debt, up from Mex$28.3b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of Mex$8.57b, its net debt is less, at about Mex$23.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:GMXT * Debt to Equity History December 7th 2021

How Strong Is GMéxico Transportes. de's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, GMéxico Transportes. de had liabilities of Mex$9.63b due within 12 months, and liabilities of Mex$45.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of Mex$8.57b as well as receivables valued at Mex$7.99b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total Mex$38.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

GMéxico Transportes. de has a market capitalization of Mex$143.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While GMéxico Transportes. de's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.1 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.6 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Fortunately, GMéxico Transportes. de grew its EBIT by 9.0% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GMéxico Transportes. de can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, GMéxico Transportes. de generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 82% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

GMéxico Transportes. de's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And we also thought its net debt to EBITDA was a positive. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like GMéxico Transportes. de is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for GMéxico Transportes. de you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.