Expeditors International of Washington Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of EXPD * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

EXPD * (MX$2479.97) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$2308.91)

Is EXPD * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXPD * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXPD * (MX$2479.97) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$2308.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXPD * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXPD *?

Key metric: As EXPD * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXPD *. This is calculated by dividing EXPD *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXPD *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	23.2x
Earnings	US$732.91m
Market Cap	US$16.98b

EXPD * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	16.1x
PEG Ratio	8.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXPD *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXPD * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	31.6x
GAP B Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico. de	22.1x	18.0%	Mex$194.0b
GMXT * GMéxico Transportes. de	15.4x	21.6%	Mex$133.8b
ASUR B Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V	12.7x	7.9%	Mex$161.6b
ALEATIC * Aleatica. de	75.9x	n/a	Mex$157.8b
EXPD * Expeditors International of Washington	23.2x	2.6%	Mex$17.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXPD * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the peer average (31.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXPD *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Logistics Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXPD * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the Global Logistics industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXPD *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXPD * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	23.2x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate EXPD *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXPD * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$2,479.97	Mex$2,393.34 -3.5%	9.6%	Mex$2,679.72	Mex$1,759.21	n/a	15
Nov ’25	Mex$2,409.34	Mex$2,302.03 -4.5%	10.5%	Mex$2,723.48	Mex$1,689.75	n/a	15
Oct ’25	n/a	Mex$2,213.62 0%	10.4%	Mex$2,614.36	Mex$1,622.05	n/a	14
Sep ’25	n/a	Mex$2,213.62 0%	10.4%	Mex$2,614.36	Mex$1,622.05	n/a	14
Aug ’25	n/a	Mex$2,156.11 0%	11.1%	Mex$2,571.78	Mex$1,558.08	n/a	14
Jul ’25	n/a	Mex$2,077.41 0%	10.4%	Mex$2,458.04	Mex$1,557.39	n/a	14
Jun ’25	n/a	Mex$1,871.34 0%	9.9%	Mex$2,136.59	Mex$1,407.44	n/a	14
May ’25	n/a	Mex$1,816.26 0%	9.8%	Mex$2,137.44	Mex$1,424.96	n/a	15
Apr ’25	n/a	Mex$1,772.36 0%	9.5%	Mex$2,087.08	Mex$1,391.38	n/a	15
Mar ’25	n/a	Mex$1,822.67 0%	8.5%	Mex$2,068.88	Mex$1,436.25	n/a	15
Feb ’25	n/a	Mex$1,846.61 0%	9.5%	Mex$2,200.04	Mex$1,443.78	n/a	16
Jan ’25	Mex$2,179.92	Mex$1,798.41 -17.5%	9.0%	Mex$2,060.91	Mex$1,430.71	n/a	17
Dec ’24	n/a	Mex$1,827.04 0%	8.8%	Mex$2,082.22	Mex$1,457.55	n/a	17
Nov ’24	n/a	Mex$1,917.72 0%	8.7%	Mex$2,159.03	Mex$1,529.31	Mex$2,409.34	17
Oct ’24	n/a	Mex$1,819.31 0%	8.5%	Mex$2,045.98	Mex$1,466.28	n/a	17
Sep ’24	n/a	Mex$1,819.31 0%	8.5%	Mex$2,045.98	Mex$1,466.28	n/a	17
Aug ’24	n/a	Mex$1,739.27 0%	8.0%	Mex$2,026.33	Mex$1,418.43	n/a	16
Jul ’24	n/a	Mex$1,729.74 0%	7.6%	Mex$2,053.78	Mex$1,454.76	n/a	15
Jun ’24	n/a	Mex$1,806.43 0%	8.5%	Mex$2,122.61	Mex$1,503.51	n/a	16
May ’24	n/a	Mex$1,797.64 0%	8.8%	Mex$2,162.94	Mex$1,550.11	n/a	15
Apr ’24	n/a	Mex$1,807.39 0%	8.8%	Mex$2,162.69	Mex$1,567.95	n/a	14
Mar ’24	Mex$1,948.80	Mex$1,827.40 -6.2%	8.8%	Mex$2,195.81	Mex$1,591.96	n/a	15
Feb ’24	Mex$2,023.76	Mex$1,879.88 -7.1%	9.3%	Mex$2,240.92	Mex$1,680.69	n/a	15
Jan ’24	n/a	Mex$1,996.47 0%	10.9%	Mex$2,363.23	Mex$1,704.62	Mex$2,179.92	15
Dec ’23	n/a	Mex$1,951.14 0%	10.4%	Mex$2,337.00	Mex$1,685.70	n/a	14
Nov ’23	Mex$1,949.20	Mex$2,015.07 +3.4%	12.5%	Mex$2,507.26	Mex$1,604.65	n/a	13

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.