Delta Air Lines Valuation
Is DAL * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of DAL * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: DAL * (MX$869.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1125.1)
Significantly Below Fair Value: DAL * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DAL *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is DAL *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$33.27b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 6.9x |
PEG Ratio | 10.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does DAL *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 14.8x | ||
VOLAR A Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de | 8.7x | 7.3% | Mex$16.6b |
GAP B Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico. de | 16.5x | 9.8% | Mex$158.0b |
ASUR B Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste S. A. B. de C. V | 16.1x | 10.9% | Mex$173.1b |
GMXT * GMéxico Transportes. de | 17.8x | 11.0% | Mex$158.7b |
DAL * Delta Air Lines | 6.6x | 0.7% | Mex$33.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DAL * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the peer average (14.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does DAL *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DAL * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is DAL *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 6.6x |
Fair PE Ratio | 16.6x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DAL * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$869.46 | Mex$995.22 +14.5% | 14.9% | Mex$1,457.46 | Mex$668.72 | n/a | 19 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$805.00 | Mex$899.54 +11.7% | 17.9% | Mex$1,413.68 | Mex$565.47 | n/a | 20 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$715.79 | Mex$913.80 +27.7% | 16.2% | Mex$1,324.19 | Mex$584.71 | n/a | 20 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$670.00 | Mex$908.42 +35.6% | 16.6% | Mex$1,322.61 | Mex$584.01 | n/a | 20 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$677.69 | Mex$896.82 +32.3% | 16.6% | Mex$1,324.17 | Mex$687.88 | n/a | 20 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$653.00 | Mex$896.82 +37.3% | 16.6% | Mex$1,324.17 | Mex$687.88 | n/a | 20 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$553.10 | Mex$936.93 +69.4% | 16.4% | Mex$1,371.55 | Mex$712.49 | n/a | 20 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$655.00 | Mex$1,020.97 +55.9% | 14.4% | Mex$1,351.75 | Mex$719.76 | n/a | 19 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$720.00 | Mex$1,021.88 +41.9% | 13.4% | Mex$1,316.03 | Mex$700.74 | n/a | 19 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$768.17 | Mex$1,008.69 +31.3% | 12.6% | Mex$1,288.83 | Mex$686.26 | n/a | 19 |
Jul ’24 | Mex$816.65 | Mex$959.92 +17.5% | 12.7% | Mex$1,212.48 | Mex$700.17 | n/a | 19 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$641.18 | Mex$912.76 +42.4% | 17.4% | Mex$1,242.55 | Mex$674.53 | n/a | 19 |
May ’24 | Mex$612.00 | Mex$932.77 +52.4% | 20.7% | Mex$1,456.07 | Mex$683.10 | Mex$865.00 | 18 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$628.97 | Mex$929.72 +47.8% | 19.1% | Mex$1,466.03 | Mex$723.96 | Mex$805.00 | 19 |
Mar ’24 | Mex$696.25 | Mex$943.76 +35.5% | 19.8% | Mex$1,505.13 | Mex$743.27 | Mex$715.79 | 19 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$740.00 | Mex$943.54 +27.5% | 20.3% | Mex$1,512.62 | Mex$746.97 | Mex$670.00 | 19 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$629.00 | Mex$952.39 +51.4% | 23.4% | Mex$1,584.57 | Mex$684.69 | Mex$677.69 | 19 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$673.00 | Mex$943.23 +40.2% | 21.7% | Mex$1,449.11 | Mex$685.39 | Mex$653.00 | 18 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$667.71 | Mex$954.42 +42.9% | 22.1% | Mex$1,474.81 | Mex$697.55 | Mex$553.10 | 18 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$567.00 | Mex$994.31 +75.4% | 20.9% | Mex$1,489.10 | Mex$704.31 | Mex$655.00 | 17 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$617.00 | Mex$993.39 +61.0% | 19.2% | Mex$1,401.81 | Mex$700.90 | Mex$720.00 | 19 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$654.17 | Mex$1,031.75 +57.7% | 18.8% | Mex$1,437.27 | Mex$718.63 | Mex$768.17 | 18 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$594.00 | Mex$1,116.89 +88.0% | 11.5% | Mex$1,417.20 | Mex$911.06 | Mex$816.65 | 18 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$786.71 | Mex$1,082.75 +37.6% | 11.8% | Mex$1,379.25 | Mex$886.66 | Mex$641.18 | 21 |
May ’23 | Mex$882.00 | Mex$1,110.82 +25.9% | 11.3% | Mex$1,428.61 | Mex$897.98 | Mex$612.00 | 21 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.