Axtel. de (BMV:AXTEL CPO) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Q: What is the Fair Price of AXTEL CPO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AXTEL CPO (MX$1.2) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$1.24)

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AXTEL CPO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AXTEL CPO (MX$1.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$1.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AXTEL CPO is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AXTEL CPO?

Key metric: As AXTEL CPO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AXTEL CPO. This is calculated by dividing AXTEL CPO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AXTEL CPO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.3x
Sales	Mex$11.06b
Market Cap	Mex$3.32b

AXTEL CPO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.5x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AXTEL CPO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AXTEL CPO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.3x
CTAXTEL A Controladora Axtel. de	0.1x	n/a	Mex$1.5b
LASITE B-1 Sitios Latinoamérica. de	0.7x	14.9%	Mex$10.1b
SITES1 A-1 Operadora de Sites Mexicanos. de	3.5x	5.7%	Mex$45.3b
TTLK Tattelecom	1x	n/a	₽10.3b
AXTEL CPO Axtel. de	0.3x	7.4%	Mex$3.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AXTEL CPO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AXTEL CPO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Telecom Industry?

31 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	1.4x	10.4%
AXTEL CPO Axtel. de	0.3x	7.4%	US$161.87m

31 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	1.4x	-3.6%
AXTEL CPO Axtel. de	0.3x	n/a	US$161.87m

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AXTEL CPO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the Global Telecom industry average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AXTEL CPO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AXTEL CPO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.3x
Fair PS Ratio	0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AXTEL CPO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AXTEL CPO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$1.20	Mex$1.65 +37.5%	51.5%	Mex$2.50	Mex$0.80	n/a	2
Nov ’25	Mex$1.18	Mex$1.65 +39.8%	51.5%	Mex$2.50	Mex$0.80	n/a	2
Oct ’25	Mex$1.09	Mex$1.65 +51.4%	51.5%	Mex$2.50	Mex$0.80	n/a	2
Sep ’25	Mex$1.26	Mex$1.90 +50.8%	57.9%	Mex$3.00	Mex$0.80	n/a	2
Aug ’25	Mex$1.32	Mex$1.90 +43.9%	57.9%	Mex$3.00	Mex$0.80	n/a	2
Jul ’25	Mex$1.47	Mex$1.90 +29.3%	57.9%	Mex$3.00	Mex$0.80	n/a	2
Jun ’25	Mex$1.65	Mex$1.90 +15.2%	57.9%	Mex$3.00	Mex$0.80	n/a	2
May ’25	Mex$1.06	Mex$1.70 +60.4%	52.9%	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.80	n/a	2
Apr ’25	Mex$0.87	Mex$1.80 +107.1%	41.6%	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.80	n/a	3
Mar ’25	Mex$0.81	Mex$1.80 +123.3%	41.6%	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.80	n/a	3
Feb ’25	Mex$0.67	Mex$1.80 +169.1%	41.6%	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.80	n/a	3
Jan ’25	Mex$0.67	Mex$1.80 +167.5%	41.6%	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.80	n/a	3
Dec ’24	Mex$0.67	Mex$1.80 +167.1%	41.6%	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.80	n/a	3
Nov ’24	Mex$0.75	Mex$1.80 +140.3%	41.6%	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.80	Mex$1.18	3
Oct ’24	Mex$0.73	Mex$2.00 +175.1%	42.4%	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.80	Mex$1.09	3
Sep ’24	Mex$0.63	Mex$2.00 +218.0%	42.4%	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.80	Mex$1.26	3
Aug ’24	Mex$0.69	Mex$2.03 +193.0%	42.9%	Mex$2.70	Mex$0.80	Mex$1.32	3
Jul ’24	Mex$0.74	Mex$2.17 +194.4%	31.6%	Mex$2.70	Mex$1.20	Mex$1.47	3
Jun ’24	Mex$0.95	Mex$2.17 +127.4%	31.6%	Mex$2.70	Mex$1.20	Mex$1.65	3
May ’24	Mex$1.38	Mex$1.90 +37.7%	30.1%	Mex$2.60	Mex$1.20	Mex$1.06	3
Apr ’24	Mex$1.33	Mex$1.93 +45.4%	29.7%	Mex$2.60	Mex$1.20	Mex$0.87	3
Mar ’24	Mex$1.29	Mex$1.93 +49.9%	29.7%	Mex$2.60	Mex$1.20	Mex$0.81	3
Feb ’24	Mex$1.48	Mex$2.65 +79.1%	1.9%	Mex$2.70	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.67	2
Jan ’24	Mex$1.37	Mex$2.65 +93.4%	1.9%	Mex$2.70	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.67	2
Dec ’23	Mex$1.56	Mex$2.65 +69.9%	1.9%	Mex$2.70	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.67	2
Nov ’23	Mex$1.43	Mex$2.65 +85.3%	1.9%	Mex$2.70	Mex$2.60	Mex$0.75	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Axtel. de Valuation