Axtel, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:AXTEL CPO Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$2.4b

Axtel. de Valuation

Is AXTEL CPO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AXTEL CPO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AXTEL CPO (MX$0.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$4.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AXTEL CPO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AXTEL CPO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AXTEL CPO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.3x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AXTEL CPO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AXTEL CPO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.5x
CTAXTEL A Controladora Axtel. de
5.3xn/aMex$1.1b
SITES1 A-1 Operadora de Sites Mexicanos. de
152.2x63.1%Mex$62.4b
TTLK Tattelecom
3.9xn/a₽10.3b
BLU Blue Label Telecoms
4.6xn/aR3.5b
AXTEL CPO Axtel. de
11.6xn/aMex$2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AXTEL CPO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (54.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AXTEL CPO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AXTEL CPO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the Global Telecom industry average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AXTEL CPO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AXTEL CPO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AXTEL CPO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AXTEL CPO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$0.83
Mex$1.80
+115.6%
41.6%Mex$2.60Mex$0.80n/a3
Mar ’25Mex$0.81
Mex$1.80
+123.3%
41.6%Mex$2.60Mex$0.80n/a3
Feb ’25Mex$0.67
Mex$1.80
+169.1%
41.6%Mex$2.60Mex$0.80n/a3
Jan ’25Mex$0.67
Mex$1.80
+167.5%
41.6%Mex$2.60Mex$0.80n/a3
Dec ’24Mex$0.67
Mex$1.80
+167.1%
41.6%Mex$2.60Mex$0.80n/a3
Nov ’24Mex$0.75
Mex$1.80
+140.3%
41.6%Mex$2.60Mex$0.80n/a3
Oct ’24Mex$0.73
Mex$2.00
+175.1%
42.4%Mex$2.60Mex$0.80n/a3
Sep ’24Mex$0.63
Mex$2.00
+218.0%
42.4%Mex$2.60Mex$0.80n/a3
Aug ’24Mex$0.69
Mex$2.03
+193.0%
42.9%Mex$2.70Mex$0.80n/a3
Jul ’24Mex$0.74
Mex$2.17
+194.4%
31.6%Mex$2.70Mex$1.20n/a3
Jun ’24Mex$0.95
Mex$2.17
+127.4%
31.6%Mex$2.70Mex$1.20n/a3
May ’24Mex$1.38
Mex$1.90
+37.7%
30.1%Mex$2.60Mex$1.20n/a3
Apr ’24Mex$1.33
Mex$1.93
+45.4%
29.7%Mex$2.60Mex$1.20n/a3
Mar ’24Mex$1.29
Mex$1.93
+49.9%
29.7%Mex$2.60Mex$1.20Mex$0.813
Feb ’24Mex$1.48
Mex$2.65
+79.1%
1.9%Mex$2.70Mex$2.60Mex$0.672
Jan ’24Mex$1.37
Mex$2.65
+93.4%
1.9%Mex$2.70Mex$2.60Mex$0.672
Dec ’23Mex$1.56
Mex$2.65
+69.9%
1.9%Mex$2.70Mex$2.60Mex$0.672
Nov ’23Mex$1.43
Mex$2.65
+85.3%
1.9%Mex$2.70Mex$2.60Mex$0.752
Oct ’23Mex$1.43
Mex$4.39
+206.8%
49.6%Mex$8.00Mex$2.60Mex$0.734
Sep ’23Mex$1.34
Mex$4.39
+227.4%
49.6%Mex$8.00Mex$2.60Mex$0.634
Aug ’23Mex$1.40
Mex$5.79
+313.4%
40.2%Mex$8.10Mex$2.75Mex$0.694
Jul ’23Mex$1.56
Mex$5.79
+271.0%
40.2%Mex$8.10Mex$2.75Mex$0.744
Jun ’23Mex$1.59
Mex$5.84
+267.1%
39.4%Mex$8.10Mex$2.75Mex$0.954
May ’23Mex$2.19
Mex$6.74
+207.6%
34.2%Mex$8.10Mex$2.75Mex$1.384
Apr ’23Mex$2.80
Mex$7.65
+173.2%
33.1%Mex$10.00Mex$2.75Mex$1.335
Mar ’23Mex$3.14
Mex$7.65
+143.6%
33.1%Mex$10.00Mex$2.75Mex$1.295

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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