Super Micro Computer Valuation
Is SMCI * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of SMCI * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: SMCI * (MX$13885) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$13351.52)
Significantly Below Fair Value: SMCI * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SMCI *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is SMCI *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$48.17b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4.1x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 40.4x |
PEG Ratio | 1.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does SMCI *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 21.3x | ||
1810 Xiaomi | 25.3x | 7.3% | HK$477.5b |
4901 FUJIFILM Holdings | 17.4x | 7.2% | JP¥4.2t |
7751 Canon | 15.9x | 3.2% | JP¥4.3t |
2382 Quanta Computer | 26.7x | 22.3% | NT$1.1t |
SMCI * Super Micro Computer | 44.6x | 37.6% | Mex$48.2b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SMCI * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.6x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does SMCI *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Tech Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SMCI * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.6x) compared to the Global Tech industry average (22.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is SMCI *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 44.6x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SMCI *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | Mex$13,885.00 | Mex$17,107.69 +23.2% | 30.3% | Mex$25,491.15 | Mex$4,843.32 | n/a | 14 |
May ’25 | Mex$14,700.00 | Mex$16,465.95 +12.0% | 32.7% | Mex$25,526.70 | Mex$4,850.07 | n/a | 15 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$17,250.00 | Mex$15,341.38 -11.1% | 35.6% | Mex$22,527.18 | Mex$4,171.70 | n/a | 15 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$15,400.01 | Mex$12,743.14 -17.3% | 34.2% | Mex$22,222.33 | Mex$4,273.53 | n/a | 14 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$9,950.00 | Mex$9,750.32 -2.0% | 22.3% | Mex$12,011.09 | Mex$4,289.68 | n/a | 11 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | Mex$6,295.05 0% | 26.0% | Mex$8,604.50 | Mex$2,753.44 | n/a | 10 |
Dec ’24 | n/a | Mex$6,576.21 0% | 21.2% | Mex$8,763.60 | Mex$4,206.53 | n/a | 10 |
Nov ’24 | n/a | Mex$6,551.62 0% | 20.4% | Mex$9,026.75 | Mex$4,332.84 | n/a | 10 |
Oct ’24 | n/a | Mex$6,214.72 0% | 18.6% | Mex$8,536.70 | Mex$4,268.35 | n/a | 9 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$4,463.12 | Mex$6,289.30 +40.9% | 19.1% | Mex$8,530.75 | Mex$4,265.38 | n/a | 8 |
Aug ’24 | n/a | Mex$4,885.02 0% | 43.7% | Mex$6,810.58 | Mex$1,103.96 | n/a | 8 |
Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,939.79 0% | 52.7% | Mex$6,830.60 | Mex$1,109.97 | n/a | 7 |
Jun ’24 | n/a | Mex$3,236.46 0% | 60.5% | Mex$7,126.16 | Mex$1,158.00 | n/a | 6 |
May ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,899.32 0% | 37.9% | Mex$3,159.52 | Mex$1,173.54 | Mex$14,700.00 | 5 |
Apr ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,877.00 0% | 39.3% | Mex$3,258.68 | Mex$1,210.37 | Mex$17,250.00 | 5 |
Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,877.00 0% | 39.3% | Mex$3,258.68 | Mex$1,210.37 | Mex$15,400.01 | 5 |
Feb ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,877.00 0% | 39.3% | Mex$3,258.68 | Mex$1,210.37 | Mex$9,950.00 | 5 |
Jan ’24 | n/a | Mex$1,921.00 0% | 37.8% | Mex$3,247.60 | Mex$1,239.99 | n/a | 5 |
Dec ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,921.00 0% | 37.8% | Mex$3,247.60 | Mex$1,239.99 | n/a | 5 |
Nov ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,713.27 0% | 35.8% | Mex$2,729.27 | Mex$1,095.69 | n/a | 5 |
Oct ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,822.45 0% | 29.0% | Mex$2,549.44 | Mex$1,095.46 | n/a | 4 |
Sep ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,991.26 0% | 17.5% | Mex$2,555.20 | Mex$1,656.89 | Mex$4,463.12 | 4 |
Aug ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,741.26 0% | 17.0% | Mex$2,066.78 | Mex$1,446.75 | n/a | 4 |
Jul ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,575.67 0% | 19.2% | Mex$2,000.85 | Mex$1,200.51 | n/a | 4 |
Jun ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,575.67 0% | 19.2% | Mex$2,000.85 | Mex$1,200.51 | n/a | 4 |
May ’23 | n/a | Mex$1,197.92 0% | 13.2% | Mex$1,439.56 | Mex$1,028.26 | n/a | 4 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.