Twilio Valuation

Is TWLO * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TWLO * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TWLO * (MX$2094.86) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$1831.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TWLO * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TWLO *?

Key metric: As TWLO * is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TWLO *. This is calculated by dividing TWLO *'s market cap by their current revenue.
What is TWLO *'s PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.7x
SalesUS$4.34b
Market CapUS$16.01b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TWLO *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TWLO * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.8x
WIX Wix.com
7.1x12.3%US$12.2b
VRSN VeriSign
11.3x3.7%US$17.4b
AKAM Akamai Technologies
3.5x6.9%US$14.0b
OKTA Okta
5.3x10.5%US$13.0b
TWLO * Twilio
3.7x7.2%Mex$16.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TWLO * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.7x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TWLO *'s PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global IT Industry?

153 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies176PS01.63.24.86.48+
153 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TWLO * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.7x) compared to the Global IT industry average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TWLO *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TWLO * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.7x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TWLO *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TWLO * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$2,094.86
Mex$1,734.15
-17.2%
20.4%Mex$2,755.88Mex$1,020.70n/a27
Nov ’25Mex$1,715.00
Mex$1,618.96
-5.6%
15.9%Mex$2,230.43Mex$1,013.83n/a26
Oct ’25Mex$1,254.61
Mex$1,355.88
+8.1%
17.2%Mex$2,176.81Mex$989.46n/a27
Sep ’25Mex$1,216.00
Mex$1,348.14
+10.9%
17.3%Mex$2,167.54Mex$985.25n/a27
Aug ’25Mex$1,125.00
Mex$1,219.46
+8.4%
17.4%Mex$1,978.81Mex$881.47n/a27
Jul ’25Mex$1,043.00
Mex$1,246.28
+19.5%
17.3%Mex$1,995.40Mex$888.86n/a27
Jun ’25Mex$962.70
Mex$1,170.66
+21.6%
16.9%Mex$1,866.23Mex$831.32n/a28
May ’25Mex$1,045.00
Mex$1,193.54
+14.2%
17.9%Mex$1,857.13Mex$776.62n/a30
Apr ’25Mex$1,025.00
Mex$1,193.54
+16.4%
17.9%Mex$1,857.13Mex$776.62n/a30
Mar ’25Mex$1,025.00
Mex$1,243.82
+21.3%
17.4%Mex$1,882.98Mex$787.43n/a30
Feb ’25Mex$1,188.00
Mex$1,268.56
+6.8%
16.9%Mex$1,887.46Mex$857.94n/a29
Jan ’25Mex$1,292.00
Mex$1,194.41
-7.6%
17.9%Mex$1,868.75Mex$849.43n/a30
Dec ’24Mex$1,149.99
Mex$1,191.73
+3.6%
16.8%Mex$1,935.20Mex$879.64n/a30
Nov ’24Mex$904.80
Mex$1,189.49
+31.5%
16.9%Mex$1,917.41Mex$871.55Mex$1,715.0030
Oct ’24Mex$1,012.59
Mex$1,189.49
+17.5%
16.9%Mex$1,917.41Mex$871.55Mex$1,254.6130
Sep ’24Mex$1,115.00
Mex$1,152.85
+3.4%
17.1%Mex$1,875.48Mex$852.49Mex$1,216.0030
Aug ’24Mex$1,107.00
Mex$1,092.46
-1.3%
20.5%Mex$1,851.16Mex$841.44Mex$1,125.0030
Jul ’24Mex$1,105.00
Mex$1,109.76
+0.4%
20.4%Mex$1,899.99Mex$863.63Mex$1,043.0030
Jun ’24Mex$1,191.04
Mex$1,159.65
-2.6%
20.3%Mex$1,968.54Mex$894.79Mex$962.7030
May ’24n/a
Mex$1,568.93
0%
17.5%Mex$2,083.49Mex$947.04Mex$1,045.0030
Apr ’24Mex$1,196.43
Mex$1,568.93
+31.1%
17.5%Mex$2,083.49Mex$947.04Mex$1,025.0030
Mar ’24Mex$1,193.70
Mex$1,508.57
+26.4%
17.2%Mex$1,991.32Mex$905.15Mex$1,025.0030
Feb ’24Mex$1,165.00
Mex$1,452.14
+24.6%
32.8%Mex$2,820.48Mex$827.34Mex$1,188.0032
Jan ’24Mex$937.19
Mex$1,584.47
+69.1%
32.2%Mex$2,969.61Mex$871.09Mex$1,292.0032
Dec ’23Mex$952.49
Mex$1,548.09
+62.5%
32.1%Mex$2,896.91Mex$849.76Mex$1,149.9932
Nov ’23Mex$1,480.00
Mex$2,413.52
+63.1%
22.3%Mex$3,471.70Mex$1,587.06Mex$904.8032

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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