Splunk Valuation

Is SPLK * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPLK * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPLK * (MX$2652.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$4465.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPLK * is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPLK *?

Key metric: As SPLK * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SPLK *. This is calculated by dividing SPLK *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is SPLK *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio100.3x
EarningsUS$263.73m
Market CapUS$26.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPLK *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPLK * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average112.1x
WTC WiseTech Global
175.3x23.8%AU$46.1b
TYL Tyler Technologies
108x16.6%US$25.7b
ZM Zoom Video Communications
28.6x3.7%US$24.3b
XRO Xero
136.4x26.4%AU$26.5b
SPLK * Splunk
100.3x26.4%Mex$26.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPLK * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.3x) compared to the peer average (89.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPLK *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies75PE020406080100+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPLK * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.3x) compared to the Global Software industry average (35.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPLK *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPLK * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio100.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SPLK *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SPLK * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$2,682.52
0%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$2,682.52
0%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$2,682.52
0%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
Sep ’25n/a
Mex$2,682.52
0%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
Aug ’25n/a
Mex$2,682.52
0%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
Jul ’25n/a
Mex$2,682.52
0%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$2,682.52
0%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
May ’25n/a
Mex$2,682.52
0%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$2,682.52
0%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
Mar ’25Mex$2,652.55
Mex$2,682.52
+1.1%
1.1%Mex$2,769.91Mex$2,598.93n/a18
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$2,636.72
0%
6.2%Mex$2,768.01Mex$1,964.95n/a19
Jan ’25Mex$2,560.00
Mex$2,562.73
+0.1%
9.5%Mex$2,752.15Mex$1,936.70n/a20
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$2,603.34
0%
9.4%Mex$2,804.80Mex$1,973.75n/a22
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$2,711.25
0%
9.4%Mex$2,933.25Mex$2,064.14n/a23
Oct ’24Mex$2,585.30
Mex$2,570.35
-0.6%
10.1%Mex$2,736.67Mex$1,987.13n/a24
Sep ’24Mex$2,090.90
Mex$2,127.60
+1.8%
7.9%Mex$2,515.80Mex$1,761.06n/a35
Aug ’24Mex$1,823.10
Mex$2,041.46
+12.0%
9.7%Mex$2,303.10Mex$1,467.16n/a33
Jul ’24Mex$1,843.70
Mex$2,046.54
+11.0%
10.2%Mex$2,318.22Mex$1,476.79n/a33
Jun ’24Mex$1,805.00
Mex$2,103.59
+16.5%
10.2%Mex$2,384.07Mex$1,518.74n/a34
May ’24Mex$1,541.40
Mex$2,081.85
+35.1%
11.9%Mex$2,696.99Mex$1,546.27n/a33
Apr ’24Mex$1,720.10
Mex$2,120.46
+23.3%
14.0%Mex$3,117.88Mex$1,549.93n/a35
Mar ’24Mex$1,850.00
Mex$2,112.20
+14.2%
14.2%Mex$3,179.07Mex$1,580.34Mex$2,652.5535
Feb ’24Mex$1,864.30
Mex$2,104.71
+12.9%
17.6%Mex$3,258.68Mex$1,601.41n/a35
Jan ’24Mex$1,678.90
Mex$2,201.95
+31.2%
18.7%Mex$3,388.44Mex$1,665.18Mex$2,560.0036
Dec ’23Mex$1,761.30
Mex$2,220.09
+26.0%
18.5%Mex$3,352.25Mex$1,647.39n/a35
Nov ’23Mex$1,628.55
Mex$2,501.76
+53.6%
18.6%Mex$3,766.50Mex$1,695.91n/a34

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies