Oracle Corporation

BMV:ORCL * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$10.4t

Oracle Valuation

Is ORCL * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORCL * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORCL * (MX$3873.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$4151.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORCL * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORCL *?

Key metric: As ORCL * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ORCL *. This is calculated by dividing ORCL *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is ORCL *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio46.4x
EarningsUS$10.98b
Market CapUS$509.16b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORCL *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORCL * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average71.1x
NOW ServiceNow
155.3x21.7%US$208.7b
PANW Palo Alto Networks
49.1x-2.3%US$126.6b
MSFT Microsoft
34.2x12.6%US$3.1t
FTNT Fortinet
46x10.4%US$72.2b
ORCL * Oracle
46.4x16.5%Mex$509.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORCL * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.4x) compared to the peer average (71.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORCL *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?

32 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies75PE020406080100+
32 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORCL * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.4x) compared to the Global Software industry average (32x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORCL *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORCL * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ORCL *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORCL * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$3,873.05
Mex$3,589.64
-7.3%
14.9%Mex$4,297.03Mex$2,168.60n/a30
Nov ’25Mex$3,455.00
Mex$3,544.25
+2.6%
14.9%Mex$4,242.70Mex$2,141.18n/a30
Oct ’25Mex$3,330.52
Mex$3,472.20
+4.3%
15.3%Mex$4,134.48Mex$2,126.30n/a28
Sep ’25Mex$2,775.00
Mex$2,671.27
-3.7%
13.5%Mex$3,139.05Mex$1,757.87n/a27
Aug ’25Mex$2,585.00
Mex$2,671.27
+3.3%
13.5%Mex$3,139.05Mex$1,757.87n/a27
Jul ’25Mex$2,636.00
Mex$2,726.84
+3.4%
14.0%Mex$3,228.44Mex$1,807.92n/a27
Jun ’25Mex$1,973.50
Mex$2,289.55
+16.0%
13.1%Mex$2,670.54Mex$1,385.34n/a28
May ’25Mex$1,951.71
Mex$2,282.55
+17.0%
12.9%Mex$2,665.44Mex$1,382.70n/a29
Apr ’25Mex$2,079.23
Mex$2,282.55
+9.8%
12.9%Mex$2,665.44Mex$1,382.70n/a29
Mar ’25Mex$1,930.00
Mex$2,135.77
+10.7%
12.5%Mex$2,578.17Mex$1,426.59n/a30
Feb ’25Mex$1,973.04
Mex$2,135.77
+8.2%
12.5%Mex$2,578.17Mex$1,426.59n/a30
Jan ’25Mex$1,790.00
Mex$2,093.29
+16.9%
13.6%Mex$2,536.85Mex$1,403.72n/a29
Dec ’24Mex$2,006.03
Mex$2,215.25
+10.4%
13.9%Mex$2,604.54Mex$1,319.63n/a29
Nov ’24Mex$1,892.50
Mex$2,324.90
+22.8%
13.8%Mex$2,724.62Mex$1,380.47Mex$3,455.0030
Oct ’24Mex$1,845.00
Mex$2,247.58
+21.8%
12.7%Mex$2,610.35Mex$1,322.57Mex$3,330.5230
Sep ’24Mex$2,060.19
Mex$2,132.25
+3.5%
13.7%Mex$2,519.01Mex$1,276.30Mex$2,775.0029
Aug ’24Mex$1,950.00
Mex$2,114.48
+8.4%
13.6%Mex$2,511.66Mex$1,272.57Mex$2,585.0029
Jul ’24Mex$2,051.00
Mex$2,133.57
+4.0%
14.5%Mex$2,566.80Mex$1,300.51Mex$2,636.0028
Jun ’24Mex$1,872.65
Mex$1,722.98
-8.0%
14.1%Mex$2,122.61Mex$1,185.12Mex$1,973.5027
May ’24Mex$1,695.34
Mex$1,745.85
+3.0%
14.1%Mex$2,160.64Mex$1,206.36Mex$1,951.7127
Apr ’24Mex$1,631.20
Mex$1,736.83
+6.5%
13.7%Mex$2,162.69Mex$1,207.50Mex$2,079.2327
Mar ’24Mex$1,566.00
Mex$1,730.04
+10.5%
17.4%Mex$2,265.80Mex$1,038.49Mex$1,930.0028
Feb ’24Mex$1,680.00
Mex$1,730.04
+3.0%
17.4%Mex$2,265.80Mex$1,038.49Mex$1,973.0428
Jan ’24Mex$1,583.00
Mex$1,768.06
+11.7%
17.1%Mex$2,375.69Mex$1,088.86Mex$1,790.0026
Dec ’23Mex$1,610.00
Mex$1,705.60
+5.9%
19.0%Mex$2,390.60Mex$1,095.69Mex$2,006.0326
Nov ’23Mex$1,480.00
Mex$1,705.60
+15.2%
19.0%Mex$2,390.60Mex$1,095.69Mex$1,892.5026

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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