Fortinet Valuation

Is FTNT * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FTNT * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FTNT * (MX$1826) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$2100.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FTNT * is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FTNT *?

Key metric: As FTNT * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FTNT *. This is calculated by dividing FTNT *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is FTNT *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio46.3x
EarningsUS$1.53b
Market CapUS$70.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FTNT *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FTNT * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average65x
PANW Palo Alto Networks
49.9x-2.4%US$127.0b
NOW ServiceNow
158x21.7%US$210.9b
GEN Gen Digital
29.1x14.3%US$18.0b
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies
23.2x5.2%US$19.2b
FTNT * Fortinet
46.3x10.4%Mex$70.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FTNT * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.3x) compared to the peer average (65x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FTNT *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies73PE020406080100+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FTNT * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.3x) compared to the Global Software industry average (32.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FTNT *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FTNT * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FTNT *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FTNT * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$1,826.00
Mex$1,934.24
+5.9%
11.3%Mex$2,255.02Mex$1,259.56n/a36
Nov ’25Mex$1,576.19
Mex$1,593.80
+1.1%
11.6%Mex$2,129.04Mex$1,257.15n/a36
Oct ’25Mex$1,514.00
Mex$1,431.77
-5.4%
9.2%Mex$1,750.03Mex$1,203.71n/a36
Sep ’25Mex$1,511.00
Mex$1,407.43
-6.9%
9.7%Mex$1,742.60Mex$1,140.59n/a36
Aug ’25Mex$1,066.00
Mex$1,326.51
+24.4%
12.6%Mex$1,690.23Mex$862.56n/a36
Jul ’25Mex$1,098.00
Mex$1,305.66
+18.9%
11.5%Mex$1,633.88Mex$978.80n/a37
Jun ’25Mex$998.00
Mex$1,214.23
+21.7%
11.5%Mex$1,523.56Mex$912.71n/a36
May ’25Mex$1,092.53
Mex$1,301.14
+19.1%
10.7%Mex$1,537.62Mex$940.07n/a37
Apr ’25Mex$1,089.05
Mex$1,283.16
+17.8%
10.3%Mex$1,518.92Mex$930.09n/a36
Mar ’25Mex$1,214.99
Mex$1,291.74
+6.3%
10.5%Mex$1,534.68Mex$939.74n/a36
Feb ’25Mex$1,125.00
Mex$1,075.26
-4.4%
10.8%Mex$1,325.07Mex$843.23n/a36
Jan ’25Mex$992.50
Mex$976.69
-1.6%
9.1%Mex$1,192.58Mex$843.24n/a35
Dec ’24Mex$892.66
Mex$984.32
+10.3%
9.8%Mex$1,203.30Mex$850.82n/a34
Nov ’24Mex$1,015.00
Mex$1,296.91
+27.8%
9.8%Mex$1,715.08Mex$1,083.21Mex$1,576.1935
Oct ’24Mex$1,031.00
Mex$1,316.79
+27.7%
9.7%Mex$1,667.74Mex$1,141.09Mex$1,514.0034
Sep ’24Mex$1,043.00
Mex$1,261.18
+20.9%
10.0%Mex$1,592.19Mex$1,089.39Mex$1,511.0032
Aug ’24Mex$1,280.00
Mex$1,362.50
+6.4%
11.3%Mex$1,601.82Mex$1,095.98Mex$1,066.0031
Jul ’24Mex$1,297.00
Mex$1,287.75
-0.7%
7.6%Mex$1,535.07Mex$1,108.66Mex$1,098.0030
Jun ’24Mex$1,212.40
Mex$1,315.96
+8.5%
7.9%Mex$1,581.97Mex$1,124.95Mex$998.0030
May ’24Mex$1,136.00
Mex$1,308.21
+15.2%
8.3%Mex$1,523.93Mex$1,129.50Mex$1,092.5331
Apr ’24Mex$1,191.00
Mex$1,302.35
+9.3%
9.0%Mex$1,564.84Mex$1,012.54Mex$1,089.0531
Mar ’24Mex$1,063.00
Mex$1,302.35
+22.5%
9.0%Mex$1,564.84Mex$1,012.54Mex$1,214.9931
Feb ’24Mex$980.00
Mex$1,200.63
+22.5%
11.0%Mex$1,582.79Mex$986.91Mex$1,125.0031
Jan ’24Mex$952.84
Mex$1,290.35
+35.4%
10.6%Mex$1,662.82Mex$1,056.38Mex$992.5030
Dec ’23Mex$1,049.00
Mex$1,270.69
+21.1%
10.5%Mex$1,641.64Mex$1,042.92Mex$892.6630
Nov ’23Mex$1,120.00
Mex$1,421.93
+27.0%
8.3%Mex$1,709.11Mex$1,206.43Mex$1,015.0029

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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