Fair Isaac Corporation

BMV:FICO1 * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$470.7b

Fair Isaac Valuation

Is FICO1 * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FICO1 * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FICO1 * (MX$20475) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$14378.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FICO1 * is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FICO1 *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FICO1 * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue18.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA41.9x
PEG Ratio3.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FICO1 *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FICO1 * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average67.7x
ANSS ANSYS
58.2x13.7%US$29.1b
PTC PTC
91.3x24.0%US$21.6b
MSTR MicroStrategy
52.7x-145.5%US$22.6b
APP AppLovin
68.5x31.7%US$24.3b
FICO1 * Fair Isaac
57.1x17.2%Mex$27.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FICO1 * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.1x) compared to the peer average (67.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FICO1 *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FICO1 * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.1x) compared to the Global Software industry average (33.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FICO1 *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FICO1 * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio57.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FICO1 *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FICO1 * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$20,475.00
Mex$22,578.18
+10.3%
13.5%Mex$25,719.90Mex$16,117.80n/a13
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$21,853.64
0%
14.1%Mex$24,846.15Mex$14,758.61n/a12
Mar ’25Mex$21,910.00
Mex$22,441.05
+2.4%
14.0%Mex$25,527.90Mex$15,163.57n/a13
Feb ’25Mex$21,137.10
Mex$22,332.99
+5.7%
15.9%Mex$25,813.05Mex$13,939.05n/a13
Jan ’25Mex$19,780.00
Mex$18,208.58
-7.9%
18.1%Mex$22,926.11Mex$12,312.17n/a13
Dec ’24Mex$19,351.15
Mex$17,907.81
-7.5%
16.7%Mex$22,700.04Mex$12,467.83n/a12
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$16,956.32
0%
12.5%Mex$20,055.86Mex$12,945.15n/a11
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$16,007.15
0%
13.6%Mex$19,310.72Mex$11,586.43n/a11
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$15,750.58
0%
12.8%Mex$18,800.43Mex$11,280.26n/a9
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$14,311.08
0%
12.1%Mex$15,901.20Mex$11,047.15n/a9
Jul ’24Mex$13,417.94
Mex$14,026.58
+4.5%
12.4%Mex$16,092.33Mex$11,298.87n/a9
Jun ’24Mex$14,032.65
Mex$13,853.53
-1.3%
10.7%Mex$16,149.13Mex$11,585.24n/a9
May ’24n/a
Mex$13,783.84
0%
6.9%Mex$15,175.04Mex$12,316.23n/a8
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$13,110.01
0%
6.8%Mex$14,544.08Mex$11,804.67n/a7
Mar ’24Mex$12,285.00
Mex$13,646.05
+11.1%
6.8%Mex$15,138.76Mex$12,287.34Mex$21,910.007
Feb ’24Mex$11,447.00
Mex$13,646.05
+19.2%
6.8%Mex$15,138.76Mex$12,287.34Mex$21,137.107
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$12,224.53
0%
14.5%Mex$13,835.36Mex$9,151.10Mex$19,780.006
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$11,420.91
0%
12.5%Mex$13,552.99Mex$9,028.82Mex$19,351.156
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$10,542.97
0%
9.2%Mex$11,920.44Mex$9,198.61n/a6
Oct ’23n/a
Mex$11,200.36
0%
8.2%Mex$12,207.48Mex$9,420.11n/a6
Sep ’23n/a
Mex$11,200.36
0%
8.2%Mex$12,207.48Mex$9,420.11n/a6
Aug ’23n/a
Mex$10,591.11
0%
11.1%Mex$12,216.60Mex$9,162.45n/a6
Jul ’23n/a
Mex$10,623.32
0%
11.1%Mex$12,206.82Mex$9,155.12Mex$13,417.946
Jun ’23Mex$8,174.60
Mex$11,094.96
+35.7%
9.3%Mex$12,259.62Mex$9,460.34Mex$14,032.656
May ’23n/a
Mex$11,094.96
0%
9.3%Mex$12,259.62Mex$9,460.34n/a6
Apr ’23n/a
Mex$12,032.47
0%
11.1%Mex$14,040.79Mex$9,702.81n/a6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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