C3.ai Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of AI1 * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AI1 * (MX$441) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$133.42)

Is AI1 * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AI1 * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AI1 * (MX$441) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$133.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AI1 * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AI1 *?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for AI1 *. This is calculated by dividing AI1 *'s market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is AI1 *'s n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$2.93b

AI1 * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	6.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-7.1x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AI1 *'s PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AI1 * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	19.4x
300496 Thunder Software TechnologyLtd	4.7x	17.0%	CN¥24.1b
RNG RingCentral	1.2x	7.2%	US$2.8b
BL BlackLine	5.4x	9.3%	US$3.4b
688318 Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology	66.3x	11.2%	CN¥28.8b
AI1 * C3.ai	9.4x	18.5%	Mex$2.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AI1 * is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.4x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AI1 *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	0%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	0%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AI1 * is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.4x) compared to the Global Software industry average (3.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AI1 *'s PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AI1 * PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	9.4x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AI1 *'s Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AI1 * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$441.00	Mex$507.89 +15.2%	31.2%	Mex$799.70	Mex$299.89	n/a	13
Sep ’25	Mex$454.00	Mex$512.82 +13.0%	26.3%	Mex$708.74	Mex$265.78	n/a	13
Aug ’25	Mex$494.60	Mex$512.82 +3.7%	26.3%	Mex$708.74	Mex$265.78	n/a	13
Jul ’25	Mex$528.00	Mex$512.82 -2.9%	26.3%	Mex$708.74	Mex$265.78	n/a	13
Jun ’25	Mex$490.00	Mex$497.66 +1.6%	26.6%	Mex$678.63	Mex$254.49	n/a	12
May ’25	Mex$386.00	Mex$489.33 +26.8%	27.4%	Mex$668.38	Mex$250.64	n/a	13
Apr ’25	Mex$440.00	Mex$489.33 +11.2%	27.4%	Mex$668.38	Mex$250.64	n/a	13
Mar ’25	Mex$610.00	Mex$492.12 -19.3%	30.1%	Mex$680.74	Mex$255.28	n/a	12
Feb ’25	Mex$439.00	Mex$458.34 +4.4%	32.8%	Mex$687.51	Mex$257.82	n/a	12
Jan ’25	Mex$488.00	Mex$456.04 -6.5%	33.7%	Mex$688.36	Mex$258.14	n/a	12
Dec ’24	Mex$526.00	Mex$468.44 -10.9%	36.0%	Mex$722.00	Mex$240.67	n/a	12
Nov ’24	Mex$440.00	Mex$458.98 +4.3%	36.2%	Mex$738.84	Mex$246.28	n/a	11
Oct ’24	Mex$445.00	Mex$458.98 +3.1%	36.2%	Mex$738.84	Mex$246.28	Mex$479.00	11
Sep ’24	Mex$528.00	Mex$460.16 -12.8%	42.1%	Mex$846.46	Mex$237.01	Mex$454.00	11
Aug ’24	Mex$749.40	Mex$460.16 -38.6%	42.1%	Mex$846.46	Mex$237.01	Mex$494.60	11
Jul ’24	Mex$636.00	Mex$441.43 -30.6%	42.8%	Mex$858.82	Mex$240.47	Mex$528.00	10
Jun ’24	Mex$599.00	Mex$451.12 -24.7%	42.8%	Mex$877.67	Mex$245.75	Mex$490.00	10
May ’24	Mex$355.72	Mex$354.13 -0.4%	30.9%	Mex$539.29	Mex$215.71	Mex$386.00	10
Apr ’24	Mex$587.00	Mex$375.08 -36.1%	30.0%	Mex$553.39	Mex$221.36	Mex$440.00	9
Mar ’24	Mex$375.00	Mex$292.97 -21.9%	36.0%	Mex$569.07	Mex$208.66	Mex$610.00	9
Feb ’24	Mex$282.62	Mex$267.48 -5.4%	16.4%	Mex$372.99	Mex$215.94	Mex$439.00	8
Jan ’24	Mex$215.00	Mex$267.48 +24.4%	16.4%	Mex$372.99	Mex$215.94	Mex$488.00	8
Dec ’23	n/a	Mex$306.95 0%	24.5%	Mex$499.10	Mex$259.53	Mex$526.00	8
Nov ’23	n/a	Mex$306.95 0%	24.5%	Mex$499.10	Mex$259.53	Mex$440.00	8
Oct ’23	n/a	Mex$311.91 0%	23.9%	Mex$499.06	Mex$259.51	Mex$445.00	8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.