Autodesk (BMV:ADSK *) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Q: What is the Fair Price of ADSK * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ADSK * (MX$5977) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (MX$5476.45)

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADSK * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADSK * (MX$5977) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$5476.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADSK * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADSK *?

Key metric: As ADSK * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADSK *. This is calculated by dividing ADSK *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADSK *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	57.3x
Earnings	US$1.09b
Market Cap	US$68.37b

ADSK * key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	11.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	49.3x
PEG Ratio	3.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADSK *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADSK * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	68.7x
ROP Roper Technologies	41.3x	10.7%	US$60.3b
WDAY Workday	41.3x	10.8%	US$71.3b
FICO Fair Isaac	111.8x	18.8%	US$58.0b
CDNS Cadence Design Systems	80.4x	16.4%	US$85.0b
ADSK * Autodesk	57.3x	14.6%	Mex$68.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADSK * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.3x) compared to the peer average (68.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADSK *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Software Industry?

34 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

34 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADSK * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.3x) compared to the Global Software industry average (32.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADSK *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADSK * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	57.3x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ADSK *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADSK * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Mex$5,977.00	Mex$6,589.33 +10.2%	9.9%	Mex$7,731.53	Mex$5,051.26	n/a	27
Nov ’25	Mex$5,850.00	Mex$5,901.99 +0.9%	8.4%	Mex$6,759.88	Mex$4,871.09	n/a	26
Oct ’25	Mex$5,375.00	Mex$5,740.27 +6.8%	7.6%	Mex$6,377.54	Mex$4,807.68	n/a	25
Sep ’25	Mex$5,105.00	Mex$5,659.38 +10.9%	9.3%	Mex$6,399.48	Mex$4,430.41	n/a	24
Aug ’25	Mex$4,592.00	Mex$4,917.47 +7.1%	8.9%	Mex$5,634.25	Mex$4,089.38	n/a	23
Jul ’25	Mex$4,513.00	Mex$4,845.62 +7.4%	9.1%	Mex$5,569.83	Mex$4,042.62	n/a	23
Jun ’25	Mex$3,337.41	Mex$4,726.61 +41.6%	8.1%	Mex$5,256.70	Mex$3,900.13	n/a	24
May ’25	Mex$3,698.00	Mex$4,826.59 +30.5%	8.7%	Mex$5,379.42	Mex$3,866.46	n/a	25
Apr ’25	Mex$4,373.66	Mex$4,826.59 +10.4%	8.7%	Mex$5,379.42	Mex$3,866.46	n/a	25
Mar ’25	Mex$4,400.01	Mex$4,813.75 +9.4%	10.1%	Mex$5,445.95	Mex$3,914.28	n/a	23
Feb ’25	n/a	Mex$4,238.63 0%	10.1%	Mex$4,890.23	Mex$3,088.57	n/a	24
Jan ’25	n/a	Mex$4,081.33 0%	8.6%	Mex$4,888.46	Mex$3,087.45	n/a	25
Dec ’24	n/a	Mex$4,012.81 0%	6.8%	Mex$4,469.30	Mex$3,094.13	n/a	25
Nov ’24	n/a	Mex$4,148.01 0%	9.0%	Mex$4,739.90	Mex$3,124.83	Mex$5,850.00	25
Oct ’24	n/a	Mex$4,148.01 0%	9.0%	Mex$4,739.90	Mex$3,124.83	Mex$5,375.00	25
Sep ’24	Mex$3,624.41	Mex$3,969.59 +9.5%	9.0%	Mex$4,523.90	Mex$2,982.43	Mex$5,105.00	24
Aug ’24	Mex$3,498.95	Mex$3,930.73 +12.3%	8.8%	Mex$4,500.76	Mex$2,972.20	Mex$4,592.00	24
Jul ’24	n/a	Mex$3,926.15 0%	8.7%	Mex$4,519.92	Mex$2,984.85	Mex$4,513.00	24
Jun ’24	n/a	Mex$4,063.91 0%	8.8%	Mex$4,687.43	Mex$3,095.47	Mex$3,337.41	24
May ’24	n/a	Mex$4,228.87 0%	10.7%	Mex$5,393.97	Mex$3,146.48	Mex$3,698.00	25
Apr ’24	n/a	Mex$4,205.53 0%	11.1%	Mex$5,387.10	Mex$3,142.48	Mex$4,373.66	25
Mar ’24	n/a	Mex$4,234.92 0%	11.2%	Mex$5,430.87	Mex$3,168.01	Mex$4,400.01	25
Feb ’24	Mex$3,928.29	Mex$4,372.51 +11.3%	12.2%	Mex$6,155.79	Mex$3,409.36	n/a	24
Jan ’24	Mex$3,522.00	Mex$4,491.23 +27.5%	12.3%	Mex$6,357.85	Mex$3,521.27	n/a	23
Dec ’23	Mex$3,964.00	Mex$4,455.70 +12.4%	12.3%	Mex$6,301.20	Mex$3,489.89	n/a	22
Nov ’23	n/a	Mex$5,018.08 0%	14.1%	Mex$7,120.63	Mex$3,610.46	n/a	22

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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