Texas Instruments Incorporated

BMV:TXN * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$3.7t

Texas Instruments Valuation

Is TXN * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TXN * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TXN * (MX$4116) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$3171.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TXN * is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TXN *?

Key metric: As TXN * is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TXN *. This is calculated by dividing TXN *'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is TXN *'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.8x
EarningsUS$4.94b
Market CapUS$181.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TXN *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TXN * vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average72.3x
QCOM QUALCOMM
17.2x7.1%US$174.3b
AMD Advanced Micro Devices
121.1x40.1%US$223.5b
MU Micron Technology
139.9x31.5%US$112.9b
A000660 SK hynix
11.1x35.4%₩115.8t
TXN * Texas Instruments
36.8x15.3%Mex$181.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TXN * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x) compared to the peer average (72.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TXN *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Semiconductor Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies89PE020406080100+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TXN * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x) compared to the Global Semiconductor industry average (30.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TXN *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TXN * PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TXN *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TXN * forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$4,116.00
Mex$4,270.66
+3.8%
16.3%Mex$6,103.25Mex$2,867.30n/a29
Nov ’25Mex$4,162.00
Mex$4,201.73
+1.0%
16.6%Mex$6,011.41Mex$2,824.15n/a28
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$4,012.02
0%
16.4%Mex$5,199.95Mex$2,231.32n/a28
Sep ’25Mex$4,070.00
Mex$4,025.71
-1.1%
16.6%Mex$5,181.00Mex$2,223.19n/a28
Aug ’25Mex$3,776.49
Mex$3,827.30
+1.3%
17.2%Mex$4,786.89Mex$2,158.79n/a28
Jul ’25Mex$3,551.61
Mex$3,272.01
-7.9%
14.9%Mex$4,168.98Mex$2,084.49n/a29
Jun ’25Mex$3,356.00
Mex$2,958.99
-11.8%
13.9%Mex$3,723.75Mex$1,903.25n/a29
May ’25Mex$3,050.00
Mex$3,023.45
-0.9%
13.8%Mex$3,853.53Mex$1,969.58n/a28
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$2,840.67
0%
15.0%Mex$3,527.73Mex$1,831.06n/a28
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$2,869.57
0%
14.5%Mex$3,587.87Mex$1,862.28n/a28
Feb ’25Mex$2,718.00
Mex$2,881.03
+6.0%
14.6%Mex$3,588.17Mex$1,862.43n/a28
Jan ’25Mex$2,922.00
Mex$2,824.86
-3.3%
13.9%Mex$3,605.26Mex$2,060.15n/a28
Dec ’24Mex$2,642.00
Mex$2,834.05
+7.3%
14.1%Mex$3,634.81Mex$2,077.03n/a28
Nov ’24Mex$2,583.00
Mex$2,956.02
+14.4%
14.1%Mex$3,791.24Mex$2,166.42Mex$4,162.0028
Oct ’24Mex$2,801.80
Mex$3,153.74
+12.6%
12.0%Mex$3,926.12Mex$2,219.11n/a29
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$3,169.34
0%
12.2%Mex$3,943.14Mex$2,228.73Mex$4,070.0028
Aug ’24Mex$3,000.00
Mex$3,083.81
+2.8%
12.2%Mex$3,836.72Mex$2,168.58Mex$3,776.4928
Jul ’24Mex$3,000.00
Mex$3,231.19
+7.7%
13.0%Mex$4,097.54Mex$2,316.00Mex$3,551.6127
Jun ’24Mex$3,127.00
Mex$3,231.19
+3.3%
13.0%Mex$4,097.54Mex$2,316.00Mex$3,356.0027
May ’24Mex$2,996.00
Mex$3,269.32
+9.1%
12.9%Mex$4,135.38Mex$2,337.39Mex$3,050.0028
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$3,483.30
0%
12.3%Mex$4,362.87Mex$2,560.82n/a29
Mar ’24Mex$3,131.90
Mex$3,483.30
+11.2%
12.3%Mex$4,362.87Mex$2,560.82n/a29
Feb ’24n/a
Mex$3,431.72
0%
11.8%Mex$4,316.92Mex$2,533.84Mex$2,718.0029
Jan ’24Mex$3,189.00
Mex$3,442.90
+8.0%
12.9%Mex$4,553.40Mex$2,771.64Mex$2,922.0029
Dec ’23Mex$3,409.67
Mex$3,349.40
-1.8%
12.7%Mex$4,465.15Mex$2,717.92Mex$2,642.0029
Nov ’23Mex$3,184.41
Mex$3,382.66
+6.2%
13.2%Mex$4,553.17Mex$2,514.14Mex$2,583.0029

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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