Stock Analysis

Does El Puerto de Liverpool. de (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BMV:LIVEPOL C-1
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for El Puerto de Liverpool. de

How Much Debt Does El Puerto de Liverpool. de Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that El Puerto de Liverpool. de had Mex$28.5b of debt in September 2023, down from Mex$30.5b, one year before. However, it also had Mex$14.9b in cash, and so its net debt is Mex$13.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BMV:LIVEPOL C-1 Debt to Equity History November 14th 2023

A Look At El Puerto de Liverpool. de's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that El Puerto de Liverpool. de had liabilities of Mex$46.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$50.7b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of Mex$14.9b as well as receivables valued at Mex$39.6b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total Mex$42.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because El Puerto de Liverpool. de is worth Mex$125.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

El Puerto de Liverpool. de's net debt is only 0.46 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.5 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that El Puerto de Liverpool. de grew its EBIT at 15% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if El Puerto de Liverpool. de can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, El Puerto de Liverpool. de produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 60% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that El Puerto de Liverpool. de's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like El Puerto de Liverpool. de is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that El Puerto de Liverpool. de is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if El Puerto de Liverpool. de might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.