Gap Valuation
Is GPS * undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of GPS * when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: GPS * (MX$358.49) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$347.53)
Significantly Below Fair Value: GPS * is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GPS *?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is GPS *'s n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | US$7.97b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.8x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 10.2x |
PEG Ratio | 1.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does GPS *'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 28.3x | ||
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de | 9x | 5.9% | Mex$198.8b |
GIGANTE * Grupo Gigante S. A. B. de C. V | 14.5x | n/a | Mex$31.8b |
GSANBOR B-1 Grupo Sanborns. de | 12.8x | n/a | Mex$58.4b |
ZAL Zalando | 77x | 28.1% | €6.6b |
GPS * Gap | 15.8x | 9.6% | Mex$8.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GPS * is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the peer average (34.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does GPS *'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GPS * is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (15.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is GPS *'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 15.8x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GPS *'s Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | n/a | Mex$372.30 0% | 21.4% | Mex$550.76 | Mex$154.90 | n/a | 21 |
Apr ’25 | Mex$469.00 | Mex$359.56 -23.3% | 21.3% | Mex$533.09 | Mex$149.93 | n/a | 21 |
Mar ’25 | Mex$335.00 | Mex$329.54 -1.6% | 23.7% | Mex$444.45 | Mex$136.75 | n/a | 20 |
Feb ’25 | Mex$339.00 | Mex$316.63 -6.6% | 26.4% | Mex$446.13 | Mex$137.27 | n/a | 20 |
Jan ’25 | Mex$355.00 | Mex$289.97 -18.3% | 24.9% | Mex$422.81 | Mex$135.30 | n/a | 21 |
Dec ’24 | Mex$360.00 | Mex$276.65 -23.2% | 22.8% | Mex$403.80 | Mex$137.46 | n/a | 20 |
Nov ’24 | Mex$240.00 | Mex$217.07 -9.6% | 32.2% | Mex$423.70 | Mex$108.18 | n/a | 19 |
Oct ’24 | Mex$185.00 | Mex$200.57 +8.4% | 31.7% | Mex$413.91 | Mex$105.68 | n/a | 20 |
Sep ’24 | Mex$200.00 | Mex$190.31 -4.8% | 31.9% | Mex$394.64 | Mex$100.76 | n/a | 20 |
Aug ’24 | Mex$176.00 | Mex$186.91 +6.2% | 34.3% | Mex$396.24 | Mex$101.17 | n/a | 20 |
Jul ’24 | n/a | Mex$187.33 0% | 34.9% | Mex$404.44 | Mex$103.26 | n/a | 20 |
Jun ’24 | Mex$140.00 | Mex$196.16 +40.1% | 36.1% | Mex$415.68 | Mex$106.13 | n/a | 20 |
May ’24 | Mex$170.00 | Mex$219.66 +29.2% | 31.9% | Mex$424.12 | Mex$126.33 | n/a | 19 |
Apr ’24 | Mex$164.00 | Mex$222.39 +35.6% | 31.7% | Mex$425.18 | Mex$126.65 | Mex$469.00 | 18 |
Mar ’24 | n/a | Mex$236.18 0% | 32.4% | Mex$460.25 | Mex$128.87 | Mex$335.00 | 19 |
Feb ’24 | Mex$245.00 | Mex$237.84 -2.9% | 33.9% | Mex$471.21 | Mex$131.94 | Mex$339.00 | 19 |
Jan ’24 | Mex$220.00 | Mex$256.84 +16.7% | 31.5% | Mex$496.45 | Mex$139.00 | Mex$355.00 | 19 |
Dec ’23 | Mex$277.00 | Mex$239.70 -13.5% | 31.5% | Mex$478.89 | Mex$134.09 | Mex$360.00 | 19 |
Nov ’23 | Mex$226.20 | Mex$209.85 -7.2% | 38.6% | Mex$504.33 | Mex$141.21 | Mex$240.00 | 20 |
Oct ’23 | Mex$165.00 | Mex$209.85 +27.2% | 38.6% | Mex$504.33 | Mex$141.21 | Mex$185.00 | 20 |
Sep ’23 | Mex$185.00 | Mex$208.17 +12.5% | 41.0% | Mex$524.84 | Mex$141.30 | Mex$200.00 | 20 |
Aug ’23 | Mex$193.00 | Mex$201.24 +4.3% | 45.2% | Mex$534.03 | Mex$102.70 | Mex$176.00 | 21 |
Jul ’23 | Mex$167.71 | Mex$231.59 +38.1% | 36.4% | Mex$527.20 | Mex$141.94 | n/a | 21 |
Jun ’23 | Mex$217.99 | Mex$232.92 +6.9% | 38.4% | Mex$551.70 | Mex$137.92 | Mex$140.00 | 21 |
May ’23 | Mex$265.00 | Mex$321.24 +21.2% | 29.4% | Mex$571.44 | Mex$142.86 | Mex$170.00 | 21 |
Apr ’23 | Mex$268.00 | Mex$367.85 +37.3% | 22.6% | Mex$555.96 | Mex$258.13 | Mex$164.00 | 21 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.