MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A.

BMV:MRL N Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$124.6b

MERLIN Properties SOCIMI Valuation

Is MRL N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MRL N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MRL N (MX$219.17) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$138.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MRL N is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MRL N?

Key metric: As MRL N is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MRL N. This is calculated by dividing MRL N's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MRL N's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio45x
Earnings€129.34m
Market Cap€5.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MRL N's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MRL N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
FUNO 11 Fibra UNO
7x-1.4%Mex$81.0b
DANHOS 13 Fibra Danhos
10.1x7.9%Mex$34.6b
FNOVA 17 Fibra Nova
8.5xn/aMex$14.1b
STORAGE 18 FIBRA Storage
7.6xn/aMex$4.5b
MRL N MERLIN Properties SOCIMI
45x33.2%Mex$5.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MRL N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MRL N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global REITs Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MRL N 45.0xIndustry Avg. 16.2xNo. of Companies21PE01020304050+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MRL N is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45x) compared to the Global REITs industry average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MRL N's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MRL N PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio45x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MRL N's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MRL N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
Mex$275.92
0%
14.1%Mex$332.57Mex$160.32n/a18
Nov ’25n/a
Mex$281.30
0%
14.1%Mex$338.83Mex$163.33n/a18
Oct ’25n/a
Mex$275.82
0%
13.7%Mex$329.99Mex$165.43n/a19
Sep ’25Mex$243.16
Mex$266.58
+9.6%
11.2%Mex$315.78Mex$209.80n/a18
Aug ’25Mex$208.78
Mex$246.78
+18.2%
11.0%Mex$295.96Mex$196.63n/a17
Jul ’25Mex$201.65
Mex$238.15
+18.1%
9.2%Mex$287.68Mex$191.13n/a18
Jun ’25n/a
Mex$215.03
0%
9.7%Mex$261.89Mex$177.65n/a17
May ’25n/a
Mex$205.05
0%
9.0%Mex$237.85Mex$176.12n/a19
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$192.37
0%
12.9%Mex$226.87Mex$114.33n/a20
Mar ’25Mex$170.26
Mex$197.86
+16.2%
12.8%Mex$234.22Mex$118.03n/a20
Feb ’25Mex$177.45
Mex$200.02
+12.7%
12.5%Mex$234.47Mex$120.05n/a20
Jan ’25n/a
Mex$190.39
0%
12.7%Mex$234.10Mex$119.86n/a20
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$190.33
0%
13.0%Mex$235.36Mex$120.50n/a20
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$192.91
0%
14.7%Mex$242.04Mex$123.92n/a17
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$183.66
0%
15.6%Mex$236.58Mex$116.47n/a17
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$188.25
0%
13.4%Mex$239.07Mex$145.28Mex$243.1617
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$188.25
0%
13.4%Mex$239.07Mex$145.28Mex$208.7817
Jul ’24n/a
Mex$191.12
0%
13.0%Mex$243.56Mex$148.01Mex$201.6517
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$196.73
0%
14.2%Mex$252.03Mex$149.36n/a17
May ’24n/a
Mex$209.59
0%
13.5%Mex$264.63Mex$156.83n/a17
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$213.43
0%
13.5%Mex$268.73Mex$159.26n/a17
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$206.33
0%
13.5%Mex$259.50Mex$153.79Mex$170.2617
Feb ’24Mex$182.40
Mex$219.38
+20.3%
14.3%Mex$272.74Mex$161.64Mex$177.4517
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$225.34
0%
14.3%Mex$279.69Mex$163.66n/a17
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$217.73
0%
13.9%Mex$268.33Mex$159.02n/a17
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$216.65
0%
13.1%Mex$260.07Mex$154.13n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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