Vonovia Valuation

Is VNA N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VNA N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VNA N (MX$527.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$660.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VNA N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VNA N?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VNA N key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue11.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA31.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VNA N's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VNA N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.1x
VESTA * Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta. de
14.2x14.4%Mex$53.2b
GAV A Acosta Verde. de
10.5xn/aMex$13.6b
PLANI * Planigrupo LATAM. de
3x1.4%Mex$4.7b
DINE B DINE. de
8.8xn/aMex$18.1b
VNA N Vonovia
3.9x-21.0%Mex$24.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VNA N is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VNA N's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VNA N is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the South American Real Estate industry average (5.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VNA N's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VNA N PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VNA N's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VNA N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$527.64
Mex$588.15
+11.5%
21.1%Mex$924.91Mex$362.00n/a18
May ’25n/a
Mex$589.20
0%
20.8%Mex$934.22Mex$365.64n/a18
Apr ’25n/a
Mex$574.93
0%
21.7%Mex$912.86Mex$357.28n/a18
Mar ’25n/a
Mex$601.62
0%
21.7%Mex$944.49Mex$351.18n/a18
Feb ’25n/a
Mex$610.05
0%
22.4%Mex$958.50Mex$356.39n/a17
Jan ’25Mex$545.60
Mex$572.36
+4.9%
24.4%Mex$957.45Mex$356.00n/a17
Dec ’24n/a
Mex$554.29
0%
28.3%Mex$970.73Mex$327.69n/a16
Nov ’24n/a
Mex$558.50
0%
27.9%Mex$970.83Mex$327.73n/a16
Oct ’24n/a
Mex$543.22
0%
28.1%Mex$941.67Mex$317.88n/a16
Sep ’24n/a
Mex$536.21
0%
29.0%Mex$945.34Mex$319.12n/a16
Aug ’24n/a
Mex$560.14
0%
40.0%Mex$1,298.32Mex$317.22n/a16
Jul ’24Mex$325.43
Mex$591.54
+81.8%
36.7%Mex$1,311.65Mex$352.99n/a15
Jun ’24n/a
Mex$604.51
0%
36.6%Mex$1,329.82Mex$357.88n/a15
May ’24n/a
Mex$635.90
0%
38.1%Mex$1,398.77Mex$289.86n/a16
Apr ’24n/a
Mex$635.39
0%
37.5%Mex$1,380.17Mex$286.00n/a16
Mar ’24n/a
Mex$700.52
0%
33.5%Mex$1,439.10Mex$298.22n/a17
Feb ’24Mex$437.33
Mex$700.52
+60.2%
33.5%Mex$1,439.10Mex$298.22n/a17
Jan ’24n/a
Mex$753.40
0%
32.0%Mex$1,481.55Mex$307.01Mex$545.6017
Dec ’23n/a
Mex$743.07
0%
31.9%Mex$1,418.92Mex$294.03n/a17
Nov ’23n/a
Mex$754.09
0%
30.4%Mex$1,389.13Mex$287.86n/a17
Oct ’23n/a
Mex$786.58
0%
26.6%Mex$1,380.45Mex$363.10n/a17
Sep ’23n/a
Mex$887.95
0%
25.5%Mex$1,417.48Mex$442.51n/a17
Aug ’23n/a
Mex$970.55
0%
26.9%Mex$1,462.95Mex$456.70n/a17
Jul ’23n/a
Mex$1,098.07
0%
20.1%Mex$1,490.30Mex$717.71Mex$325.4316
Jun ’23n/a
Mex$1,237.70
0%
12.9%Mex$1,558.88Mex$996.84n/a16
May ’23n/a
Mex$1,276.50
0%
11.9%Mex$1,582.83Mex$1,033.69n/a16

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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